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Purdue Solid Pick as Elite Eight Favorite versus Tennessee

The only matchup between the No. 1 and 2 seeds will take place between Purdue and Tennessee at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit on Sunday. The March Madness latest lines list Purdue as the favorite in the Midwest Regional final as Purdue eyes its first trip to the Final Four since 1980.

This will be the fourth meeting between the Volunteers and the Boilermakers in the last seven seasons with Purdue winning earlier this season 71-67 as a 3½-point favorite and also winning 99-94 in the 2019 NCAA tournament as a 1½-point underdog.

Purdue Solid Pick as Elite Eight Favorite versus Tennessee
Lance Jones #55 of the Purdue Boilermakers | Gregory Shamus/Getty Images/AFP

Tennessee’s most recent win in the series came in 2017 with a three-point victory as an eight-point underdog.

The college basketball betting lines list the Boilermakers as a 3½-point favorite.

When looking at college basketball futures odds, Purdue is second at +325 in the odds to win March Madness with Tennessee tied for third at +700 in the championship odds.


Tennessee vs Purdue Game Information

  • Game: Tennessee (27-8) vs Purdue (32-4)
  • Date/Time: Sunday, March 31, 2:20 p.m. ET
  • Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
  • Tennessee vs Purdue Live Stream: TBS.com


Purdue has won 25 of its last 29 neutral-site games and is 17-11-1 against the spread in those games. Tennessee is 17-9 in its last 26 games on neutral courts but has covered in just 12 of those matchups.

Purdue is priced at -170 to win the game outright while the Volunteers are +148 in our sportsbook odds.

The Volunteers and Boilermakers meet on Sunday, March 31, at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit. You can watch the game on CBS at 2:20 p.m. ET.


Tennessee vs Purdue Odds and Spreads


  • Purdue is 30-4 as a favorite this season.
  • Tennessee is 2-3 outright as the underdog this season.
  • The Boilermakers are 7-2-1 against the Las Vegas odds in neutral-site games.
  • Seven of the 10 Purdue games at neutral sites went over the total.
  • Six of Purdue’s last 10 games went under the total.
  • The Volunteers are 3-5 ATS in neutral-site games.
  • The total finished over in six of Purdue’s last nine games as the favorite.
  • The total went under in five of Tennessee’s last seven games..


Tennessee vs Purdue Over/Under Pick: Under 147 1/2 (-110)

Tennessee is third and Purdue is 17th in adjusted defensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy college basketball ratings so points might be hard to come by in this Elite Eight matchup.

Purdue has a pretty good track record in neutral-site games while The total landed under in eight of the last 10 games that Tennessee played in March and that is something to consider for March Madness over/under predictions.

Tennessee guard Santiago Vescovi missed the regional semifinal against Creighton



Tennessee vs Purdue ATS Pick: Purdue -3½ (-110)

These teams are as different as the headliners with Dalton Knecht leading Tennessee with 87 3-points while Purdue’s Zach Edey has six straight games with at least 20 points and 10 rebounds. Sophomore guard Braden Smith had 15 assists and two turnovers in the win over Gonzaga in the regional semifinal for Purdue and the play of the Purdue perimeter players could decide this game.

Purdue is 9-1 in its last 10 neutral-site games and the Boilermakers have some unfinished business after an early exit in last year’s NCAAB tournament.

Tennessee was outscored 42-14 in points in the paint in a loss to Mississippi State in the SEC tournament. How will the Volunteers fare against the 7-foot-4 Edey?



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Purdue vs Tennessee Prediction

Purdue 75, Tennessee 70



Questions Of The Day

Which team has a better record against the spread in the Elite Eight matchup between Tennessee and Purdue?

Purdue is 19-15-2 against the spread this season with Tennessee 18-16-1 ATS heading into this Midwest Regional final.

What were the odds of reaching the Final Four for Purdue and Tennessee heading into the 2023-24 season?

Purdue had the best odds of +180 to reach the Final Four coming into the season with Tennessee tied for 10th at +600 in the Final Four odds

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