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Purdue vs Grambling Best Bet to Land Under Total

Grambling overcame a 14-point deficit to stun Big Sky champion Montana State in overtime in a First Four game. However, a win by No. 16 seed Fairleigh Dickinson against Purdue in last year’s NCAA Tournament could make it a tough night at the office for the underdogs out of the SWAC. The college basketball odds list Purdue as a heavy favorite to advance to the second round of the March Madness bracket.

Purdue won the only previous meeting against Grambling 82-30 back in 2014. Grambling is 5-93 outright in its last 98 games against teams currently in Power-5 conferences.

Purdue vs Grambling Best Bet to Land Under Total
Purdue vs Grambling Best Bet to Land Under Total

Purdue is listed as a 26½-point favorite according to the college basketball expert picks.

Purdue (+750) trails only UConn and Houston in the odds to win March Madness. Grambling is tied for the longest odds at +500000 in the championship odds.

Keep on reading for more on the matchup between Grambling and Purdue.

 

Game Information

  • Game: Grambling 21-14 vs Purdue 29-4
  • Date/Time: Friday, Mar. 22, 7:25 p.m. ET
  • Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IND
  • Grambling vs Purdue Live Stream: TBS.com

 

Purdue is 18-0 outright as a double-digit favorite this season but is just 8-10 against the spread in those games. Grambling has lost its last nine games as a double-digit favorite and covered against the spread in just two of those games.

The 26½-point spread is tied for the highest among the first-round games. Grambling not only has to play top-seeded Purdue but has to play the game in Indianapolis.

 

Grambling vs Purdue Odds and Spreads

 

  • Purdue is 27-4 as the betting favorite this season.
  • Grambling has lost 11 of its 19 games as the underdog.
  • The Tigers and Boilermakers are 9-4-2 against the spread in neutral-site games.
  • Purdue is 1-5 against the Las Vegas odds over the last six games.
  • Five of the Boilermakers’ seven neutral-site games landed over the total.
  • The total landed over in four of Grambling’s last six games.
  • Grambling is 8-2 against the spread over the last 10 contests.
  • Five of Purdue’s last seven games landed over the total.

 

ATS Pick: Purdue -26½

It has been six years since Purdue has been favored by at least 20 points in the NCAA Tournament. The Boilermakers came through with the 74-48 win over Cal State Fullerton. They should be fired up after what happened in the first round in the 2023 March Madness bracket.

Grambling has lost its last seven games against Big Ten opponents while Purdue is 7-0 in its last seven matchups against SWAC teams.

Although the Tigers have covered in eight of their last nine games as the underdog, it might be a challenge for that trend to continue.

There were some concerns about the health of sophomore guard Braden Smith but Purdue coach Matt Painter said he is good to go.

 

Over/Under Pick: Under 139

Purdue has only reached 80 points once in the five games played in March but that could change against a Grambling team that allowed Montana State to connect on 13 of 30 3-point attempts this week.

Grambling scored 52 points in the paint during its First Four game. Good luck doing that with the 7-foot-4 Zach Edey lurking around for the favored Boilermakers.

Purdue is fourth in offensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy college basketball ratings, but the Boilermakers normally aren’t in a hurry on offense so that could result in this game going under the total.

 

 

Player Prop Pick: Zach Edey’s to score 24+ Points (-233)

Edey has scored at least 20 points in each of his last 10 games. He has already announced that this is his last season at Purdue so he will be motivated to get things off to a strong start in the NCAA Tournament. Grambling can throw former Texas A&M forward Jonathan Aku against Edey, but is he ready for the front-runner in the National Player of the Year odds?

 

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Prediction

Purdue 82, Grambling 54

 

 

Questions Of The Day

Which team has a better record against the spread going into the matchup between Grambling and Purdue?


Purdue is 16-15-2 against the spread this season, and Grambling is second among SWAC teams with an 18-14 ATS record.

What is a player prop worth considering for the Grambling State Tigers?


Antwan Burnett had 14 points in the SWAC title game and another 18 against Montana State in the First Four game so take a look at the scoring props for the sophomore forward.

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