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San Diego State Enticing Pick as Favorite in Mountain West

There will be no bid-stealers in the Mountain West with both San Diego State and New Mexico having done enough to get into the March Madness bracket even with a loss in the conference tournament title game. When looking at the NCAA basketball betting lines, New Mexico is the slight favorite against a San Diego State program making its seventh straight Mountain West final.

The teams split the regular-season meetings with each team winning at home. The winning team also covered in both matchups. Just one of the last six games between San Diego State and New Mexico landed over the total.

San Diego State Enticing Pick as Favorite in Mountain West
San Diego State Enticing Pick as Favorite in Mountain West

The Aztecs are listed by the college basketball spread as a 2½-point favorite as they go after a record eighth Mountain West tournament championship.

When it comes to the odds of winning March Madness, San Diego State is at +8000 and New Mexico is at +10000 in the odds of winning the national title.

Keep on reading for more on the matchup between No. 5 seed San Diego State and No. 6 seed New Mexico in the Mountain West Conference tournament championship game.


Mountain West Tournament Championship Game Information

  • Game: New Mexico 25-9 vs San Diego State 24-9
  • Date/Time: Saturday, March 16, 6 p.m. ET
  • Location: Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV
  • New Mexico vs San Diego State Live Stream: TBS.com


San Diego State is 7-8 in Mountain West tournament title games while New Mexico is 4-2 in Mountain West finals with three of the games coming against San Diego State. Keep that in mind when considering NCAAB best bet options. The Lobos are eyeing their first Mountain West tournament title since beating San Diego State 64-58 in 2014.

San Diego State is priced at -140 to win the game outright with the Lobos at +120 on the Moneyline.

New Mexico vs San Diego State Odds and Spreads

  • Four of the last six meetings between New Mexico and San Diego State went under the total.
  • New Mexico has lost five of its six games as the underdog.
  • San Diego is 20-4 outright as a favorite this season.
  • New Mexico has covered in all seven of its neutral-site games.
  • Each of the four games for San Diego State at neutral sites landed over the total.
  • San Diego State is 1-4 against the Las Vegas odds over the last five games.
  • New Mexico is 4-2 against the spread in its last six games against Mountain West teams.
  • The Lobos have covered in four of their last five games.

New Mexico vs San Diego State ATS Pick: San Diego State -2½ (-110)

This is a tough game to call as both the Lobos and Aztecs cruised to victory in the semifinals after more challenging matchups in the quarterfinals.

The difference might be the championship game experience for San Diego State as plenty of early money is coming in on the defending Mountain West tournament champions.

New Mexico vs San Diego State Over/Under Pick: Under 142 (-110)

If the Lobos and Aztecs hadn’t combined to miss nine free throws in their most recent matchup, both games would have landed over the total. It has been four years since three consecutive New Mexico and San Diego State matchups went over the total. Keep that in mind when looking at the best college basketball bets today.

New Mexico State held Colorado State to 34% shooting and a 6-for-28 effort from 3-point range in the semifinals. San Diego State held a ranked Utah State squad to five 3-pointers on 20 attempts.

San Diego State is eighth and New Mexico is 24th in defensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy college basketball ratings so points might be hard to come by in this matchup.

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New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction

San Diego State 70, New Mexico 66



Questions of the Day

Which team has a better record against the spread heading into the Mountain West tournament championship game?

New Mexico leads the Mountain West Conference with a 22-11 record against the college basketball spread. San Diego State is 13-18 against the spread.

What is the best player prop to consider for the New Mexico Lobos?

Jaelen House is averaging 24 points and 5 assists in the conference tournament so either of those props is worth considering.

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