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Take Florida vs Colorado in Betting Picks
It will be the Pac-12 tournament runner-up and the SEC tournament finalist squaring off in the first round of the South Region. Colorado overcame a four-point deficit in the final 4½ minutes to eliminate Boise State in a First Four game. The NCAAB odds favor Florida to beat Colorado and advance to the second round of the March Madness bracket.
This is the first meeting between the Buffaloes and the Gators. Florida is 16-10 outright against current Pac-12 programs. Colorado has played 143 games against Missouri but is just 17-22 against the rest of the SEC.
Florida is listed as a 1½-point favorite according to the NCAAB expert picks.
Florida is tied for 17h at +5000 in the odds to win March Madness. Colorado is well back at +12500 in the championship odds.
Keep on reading for more on the matchup between Colorado and Florida.
Game Information
- Game: Colorado 25-10 vs Florida 24-11
- Date/Time: Friday, March 22, 4:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IND
- Colorado vs Florida Live Stream: TBS.com
Florida is 3-4 in its last seven games in national postseason tournaments with the Gators covering in just two of those games. Colorado is making just its third NCAA Tournament appearance in the last 10 seasons. Colorado is 2-2 both outright and against the spread in the March Madness bracket during that span.
The Gators are priced at -120 to win the game outright with Colorado at even odds on the moneyline.
Colorado vs Florida Odds and Spreads
Betting Trends
- Florida is 7-3 outright in neutral-site games this season.
- The Gators are 21-4 as a favorite.
- Colorado is 2-4 outright when listed as the underdog.
- Florida is just 3-6 against the Las Vegas odds over its last nine games.
- Six of Colorado’s seven neutral-site games went under the total.
- Seven of Florida’s 10 games on neutral courts landed over the total.
- Colorado has covered in five of its last six games.
- The total finished under in four of the Buffaloes’ last five contests.
ATS Pick: Florida -1½
Colorado did not look good for much of the game offensively against Boise State. Will having that play-in game allow the Buffaloes to shake off some of the March Madness jitters?
Colorado is 2-5 against the spread in its last seven games as the underdog. That could be enough to go with Florida to come away with the win in what could be a game that isn’t decided until the last few possessions.
Julian Hammond, one of seven Colorado players to average at least 20 minutes per game, is questionable with a knee injury. He hasn’t played since a Feb. 17 win over Southern California. Freshman guard RJ Smith is out for the season.
Center Micah Handlogten, Florida’s second-leading rebounder, is out for the season after suffering a leg injury during the SEC tournament.
The entire #Gators team comes to see Micah Handlogten as he’s carted off the court. pic.twitter.com/rBPKB1uNJ3
— Zach Abolverdi (@ZachAbolverdi) March 17, 2024
Over/Under Pick: Under 159½
The first reaction when watching Colorado struggling offensively in the First Four game against Boise State is to go with the game against Florida to finish under the total.
However, a deeper dive into recent trends tells a different story. The total went over in six of Colorado’s last nine games against SEC teams while six of Florida’s last seven games played in March also landed over the total. Keep that in mind when looking at the best college basketball bets today.
Florida averaged 94 points in its previous three games before being limited to 67 in a loss to Auburn in the SEC tournament final. Florida is 15th in offensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy college basketball ratings while Colorado is in the top 50 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. It is a tough call, but we’re leaning on the game going under the total.
Player Prop Pick: Tyrese Samuel to score 14+ Points (-124)
Samuel averaged 15 points in the three games during the SEC tournament. The Seton Hall transfer is one of four double-digit scorers for the Gators and also the team’s leading scorer. Colorado allowed 36 points in the paint to Boise State and could have issues with the 6-foot-10 Samuel.
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Prediction
Questions Of The Day
Which team has a better record against the spread going into the matchup between Colorado and Florida?
Colorado is 18-17 ATS after covering in the play-in game. Florida is just 16-18-1 against the spread.
What is a player prop worth considering for the Colorado Buffaloes?
After having his streak of double-digit scoring games snapped at 25 in the Pac-12 final. Tristan da Silva bounced back with 20 points on 7-of-11 shooting against Boise State. The +115 odds for da Silva to score at least 17 points could be tempting.
