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Under Best Bet in Duke-NC State Matchup

Duke and North Carolina State will be squaring off for the second time in 10 days with a spot in the ACC semifinals on the line. The college basketball odds favor Duke to move one step closer to a record 23rd ACC tournament title.

Duke won the only game between the teams during the regular season 79-64 as a 6½-point road favorite. The Blue Devils are 6-0 in their last six games against North Carolina State played in March. Keep that in mind when making March Madness picks.

Under Best Bet in Duke-NC State Matchup
Under Best Bet in Duke-NC State Matchup

Duke is listed as an 11½-point favorite according to the NCAAB expert picks.

Duke is tied for ninth at +2500 in the odds to win March Madness. North Carolina State is well back at +50000 in the championship odds.

Keep on reading for more on the matchup between North Carolina State and Duke.


North Carolina State vs Duke Game Information

  • Game: North Carolina State 19-14 vs Duke 24-7
  • Date/Time: Thursday, Mar. 14, 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
  • North Carolina State vs Duke Live Stream: TBS.com


Duke is 17-5 in neutral-site games over the last three seasons with the Blue Devils winning outright in 13 of those contests. NC State is 8-9 in its last 17 games on neutral courts with a 7-10 outright record in those games.


🆚 NC State
⏰ 7:00 PM ET
🏟️ Capital One Arena
🔗 https://t.co/9KuHybnTLD#HereComesDuke 🔵😈 pic.twitter.com/HA9XyfWKA5

— Duke Men’s Basketball (@DukeMBB) March 14, 2024

The Blue Devils are priced at -725 to win the game outright with North Carolina State at +505 on the moneyline.


North Carolina State vs Duke Odds and Spreads


  • North Carolina State is 8-4 against the Las Vegas odds in its last 12 matchups with Duke.
  • Duke is 24-5 as a favorite this season.
  • Duke is 8-2 against the spread over the last 10 games.
  • The total has gone under in four of the last five matchups between North Carolina State and Duke.
  • North Carolina State has lost 10 of 13 games when listed as the underdog.
  • North Carolina State has covered in four of its five neutral-site games.
  • Seven of North Carolina State’s last 10 games went over the total.
  • The Wolfpack is 2-4 ATS over the last six games.


North Carolina State vs Duke ATS Pick: North Carolina State +11½

North Carolina State had a strong showing in eliminating Syracuse in the second round of the ACC tournament after struggling a bit with Louisville in its conference opener.

However, three starters have played between 64-73 minutes while Duke hasn’t played since Saturday so that could come into play in the second half.

Duke has won its last 10 games as a double-digit favorite and is a solid bet to continue that trend, but we would tread carefully with the 11½-point spread even though Duke did beat the Wolfpack by 15 points early this month.

Dennis Parker, one of eight North Carolina State players to average more than 10 minutes per game, is questionable while MJ Rice and LJ Thomas are out.

Caleb Foster continues to be sidelined for Duke.


North Carolina State vs Duke Over/Under Pick: Under 148½

The total has gone under in 10 of Duke’s last 11 games as the favorite. Keep that in mind when looking at the best college basketball bets today.

The Blue Devils and Wolfpack combined to miss 27 of 39 shots from 3-point range with Duke firing up 30 shots from distance. Expect the defenses to be on point in this game as well and it won’t be a surprise to see another Duke-North Carolina State game finish under the total.


North Carolina State vs Duke Player Prop Pick: Duke’s Kyle Filipowski to score 18+ Points (+131)

Kyle Filipowski made quite the impression in his first ACC tournament with 59 points in three games during the 2023 tourney. He had double-doubles in each of his last two ACC tournament matchups to lead Duke to the title. Expect Filipowski to be involved early in this one.


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North Carolina State vs Duke Prediction

Duke 77, North Carolina State 70



Questions Of The Day

Which team has a better record against the spread going into the matchup between North Carolina State and Duke?

Duke is second among ACC teams with a record of 18-12-1 against the spread this season. North Carolina State is just 14-18-1 ATS.

What is a player prop worth considering for North Carolina State?

Since being limited to two points in the loss to Duke, Jayden Taylor is averaging 21.3 points and eight rebounds over the last three games so keep an eye on both his scoring and rebounding props in this matchup.

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