Underdog Indiana Solid Pick vs Penn State
Penn State looks to knock Indiana out of the Big Ten tournament for the second season in a row as the Nittany Lions and Hoosiers clash in a rematch of the 2023 semifinal. The college basketball line has Penn State listed as the slight favorite in a game that will decide which team gets to face No. 3 seed Nebraska in the quarterfinals.
When making March Madness bets, it is worth considering that Penn State has won four games in a row against Indiana after its 83-74 victory in the only regular-season meeting between the teams.
Both Indiana and Penn State come in at +50000 in the odds to win March Madness.
Keep on reading for more on the matchup between Penn State and Indiana and take a look at some March Madness betting odds.
Penn State vs Indiana Game Information
- Game: Penn State 16-16 vs Indiana 18-13
- Date/Time: Thursday, Mar. 14, Approximately 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
- Penn State vs Indiana Live Stream: TBS.com
Indiana is 9-7 in its last 16 neutral-site games both outright and against the spread. Penn State went 11-10 in those contests during that stretch with the Nittany Lions covering in 16 of those games.
Xavier Johnson missed Indiana’s two regular season games against Penn State, losses by 14 and 9 points.
Indiana is 4-0 since Johnson’s return from injury, and he could help the Hoosiers on Thursday against Ace Baldwin Jr. and Penn State’s press. https://t.co/l9PdJWlu3i. #iubb
— Jack Ankony (@ankony_jack) March 14, 2024
Penn State is priced at -125 to win the game outright with the Hoosiers at +105 on the moneyline.
Penn State vs Indiana Odds and Spreads
Penn State vs Indiana Betting Trends
- Penn State is 8-4 as the favorite this season.
- Indiana has lost 10 of its 17 games when listed as the underdog.
- Penn State covered in just one of the five neutral-site games this season.
- Four of the five neutral-site games played by the Nittany Lions landed over the total.
- The total went over in five of Indiana’s previous seven games.
- The Nittany Lions are 5-0-1 against the Las Vegas odds in the last six games.
- The total went over in four of Penn State’s last six games.
- Indiana is 4-1 ATS over the last five games.
Penn State vs Indiana ATS Pick: Indiana +1½
It hasn’t always looked pretty but Indiana has won its last four games and the Hoosiers are 18-7 against unranked teams this season so that is enough to go with the Hoosiers to find a way to end the losing streak to the Nittany Lions.
The only concern when it comes to going with the underdog Hoosiers in this matchup is that Penn State has won five of the last six games against Indiana. The Nittany Lions are 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games played in March.
Penn State continues to play without leading scorer Kanye Clary. He hasn’t played since a mid-February loss to Michigan State. Penn State is 4-3 since Clary was injured, with one of those wins coming against Indiana.
Penn State vs Indiana Over/Under Pick: Over 149½
Defense was optional the last time Penn State and Indiana squared off as the Nittany Lions shot 57% from the field and 55% on 3-pointers. Indiana hit nearly 50% of its shots in that game. Keep that in mind when looking at the best college basketball bets today.
Even though Indiana and Penn State are both outside the top 75 in offensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy college basketball database, this certainly feels like a game when both teams could approach the 75-point mark. That would be enough to send the game over the total.
Penn State vs Indiana Player Prop Pick: Kel’el Ware to score 18+ Points (-108)
Ware, a 7-foot sophomore, has at least 26 points in three of his last four games. In the last two contests, he is 25-for-35 from the field as the Hoosiers are doing a better job of involving him in the offense than they did earlier in the season.
Despite some foul trouble, Ware had 16 points and eight rebounds in 22 minutes in the previous matchup with Penn State so look for him to have a big game in the rematch,
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Penn State vs Indiana Prediction
Questions of the Day
Which team has a better record against the spread going into the matchup between Penn State and Indiana?
Penn State is 17-14-1 against the spread this season compared to a 15-15-1 mark for Indiana.
What is a player prop worth considering for Indiana?
The lucky number has been 17 for Ace Baldwin as he has scored 17 points in each of the last three games. He is priced at -104 to have at least 17 points in this game. It might even be worth considering the +149 odds for Baldwin to have at least 19 points. He scored 23 and 22 points in the regular-season meetings against Indiana.
