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Virginia Best Bet to KO Underdog NC State

Virginia had to erase a 10-point deficit before escaping with an overtime win over Boston College to reach the ACC semifinals. North Carolina State is coming off a stunning win over second-seeded Duke. The Cavaliers are favored to return to the ACC title game for the second year in a row, according to the NCAAB expert picks.

Virginia won the lone meeting against North Carolina State during the regular season 59-53 in the lowest-scoring matchup between the teams in four years. The teams haven’t met in March since 2019, when the Cavaliers rolled to a 20-point win.

Virginia Best Bet to KO Underdog NC State
Virginia Best Bet to KO Underdog NC State

The college basketball lines have Virginia listed as the 2½-point favorite.

Virginia has a chance to get into the March Madness bracket without winning the ACC tournament but a win in the semifinals would be a boost to the Cavaliers’ NCAA Tournament odds.

Keep on reading for more on the matchup between North Carolina State and Virginia in the ACC semifinals.

 

North Carolina State vs Virginia Game Information

  • Game: North Carolina State (20-14) vs Virginia (23-9)
  • Date/Time: March 15, approximately 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
  • North Carolina State vs Virginia Live Stream: TBS.com

 

Virginia is 10-4 in its last 14 neutral-site games with the Cavaliers covering against the college basketball spread in eight of those matchups. North Carolina State is 9-9 in its last 18 games on a neutral court and is 8-10 ATS in those games.

 

🔶⚔️🔷#GoHoos pic.twitter.com/zvAi1brffr

— Virginia Men’s Basketball (@UVAMensHoops) March 15, 2024

 

Virginia is priced at -145 to win the game outright with the Wolfpack at +125 on the Moneyline.

 

North Carolina State vs Virginia Odds and Spreads

 

  • The total went under in 12 of the last 15 meetings between Virginia and North Carolina State.
  • North Carolina State has lost 10 of its 14 games as the underdog.
  • Virginia is 22-3 this season as the favorite.
  • The teams are a combined 5-5 against the Las Vegas odds in neutral-site games.
  • Four of North Carolina State’s six games at neutral sites landed over the total.
  • The team listed as the betting favorite has won five of the last six meetings between the Wolfpack and the Cavaliers.
  • The total has gone under in four of North Carolina State’s last six games.
  • Virginia has won 10 games in a row played on a Friday.

 

North Carolina State vs Virginia ATS Pick: Virginia -2½

So much for the expected Duke-Virginia battle. North Carolina State eyes another upset with the bubble teams across the nation most certainly not pulling for the Wolfpack.

Virginia has won 11 of its last 15 games against NC State. Go with Virginia to not only win the game but to cover as the 2½-point favorite.

Freshman guard Dennis Parker is questionable due to illness for North Carolina State while guard LJ Thomas is out.

 

North Carolina State vs Virginia Over/Under Pick: Over 121

Don’t look for a high-scoring matchup, especially with the methodical way that Virginia plays. However, the 121-point total seems a bit low, even for a Virginia game. Keep that in mind when looking at the best college basketball bets today.

North Carolina State has seen 19 of its games land over the total, one off the ACC lead.

Virginia ranks sixth in defensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy college basketball ratings and the adjusted tempo is at No. 362, so the Cavaliers will be content with a game in the 50s while NC State would prefer to get into the 60s.

 

North Carolina State vs Virginia Player Prop Pick: Reece Beekman to have 7+ Assists (+134)

Reece Beekman has 20 assists and three turnovers in his last two games so look for the senior guard to pile up the assists once again. He may not match his total of 11 assists that he had against Boston College, but take a look at the options for him to get to seven or eight assists.

 

North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction

Virginia 64, North Carolina State 58

 

 

Questions Of The Day

 

Which team has a better record against the college basketball spread heading into the ACC semifinal matchup between North Carolina State and Virginia?


Virginia is 17-14-1 against the spread this season compared to a 15-18-1 mark for the North Carolina State Wolfpack.

What is a player prop worth considering for the North Carolina State Wolfpack?


DJ Horne has scored 16 and 18 points in North Carolina State’s first two games in the ACC tournament and he figures to provide plenty of offense off the bench in this game as well.

 

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