Only three teams in the ACC have winning records on the road, so obviously home-court advantage is something that those who bet online will weigh heavily when making their picks in conference games.
Miami is a half-game ahead of No. 9 Duke and Notre Dame. The Hurricanes will look to improve to 5-1 on the road to maintain their hold on first place.
The Virginia-Notre Dame game could be a fun one while North Carolina State-North Carolina contests can be interesting, to say the least.
Duke (-180) is the heavy favorite in the odds to win the ACC title followed by Miami (+450) and Notre Dame (+850).
Here’s a look at this weekend’s games in the ACC.
Duke Blue Devils at Louisville Cardinals
- Date, time, TV: Saturday, January 29, 12 p.m. ET ESPN
Louisville had defeated Duke three times in a row and covered against the college basketball spreads in each of those contests before Duke’s win in the second round of the 2021 ACC tournament.
Louisville (11-9, 5-5) is 4-1 against the spread in its last five meetings with Duke. The Cardinals have lost five of their last six resulting in the school firing head coach Chris Mack. Four of Louisville’s last five games have gone under the total.
Duke (16-3, 6-2 had lost its previous two games decided by two points or less before Tuesday’s 71-69 victory against Clemson.
The Blue Devils are 2-3 against the spread in their last five games as a double-digit favorite. They are 13-1 at home.
Freshman guard Trevor Keels has missed Duke’s last two games. He is third on the team in scoring averaging 11.9 points per game.
Duke associate head coach Chris Carrawell, on Zoom with reporters just now, says it’s still up in the air whether or not Trevor Keels will play Saturday at Louisville.
Keels has missed the last two games after injuring his lower leg late against Florida State.
— Brendan Marks (@BrendanRMarks) January 27, 2022
Louisville’s leading scorer Noah Locke is 3-of-13 from the field in the last two games including 2-of-8 from 3-point range.
Miami Hurricanes at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
- Date, time, TV: Saturday, January 29, 12 p.m. ET ACC NX/ESPN+
Georgia Tech (9-10, 2-6) has won the last three meetings with Miami including a four-point victory in the 2021 ACC tournament quarterfinals. Miami’s last win at Georgia Tech came in 2016.
Four of Miami’s last five games have finished under the total while five of the Hurricanes’ last six contests have been decided by three points or less with Miami (15-5, 7-2) winning three of those games.
Georgia Tech had dropped five of its last six games before winning the last two. Wednesday’s game against Florida State snapped a run of five consecutive games finishing over the total.
Seven of Miami’s last eight ACC games have been decided by less than 10 points. The Hurricanes are 5-2 in those games with both losses coming to Florida State.
Georgia Tech’s Michael Devoe is averaging 19 points per game on 47% shooting in his last three games.
North Carolina State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels
- Date, time, TV: Saturday, January 29, 2 p.m. ET ACC Network
North Carolina has won six of the last seven matchups with North Carolina State although four were determined by less than 10 points.
Each of the last three games went over the total set by the Las Vegas odds.
North Carolina State (10-11, 3-7) has lost three of its last four games and gone 1-3 against the spread during that stretch.
North Carolina (14-6, 6-3) has won its last nine home games with each of those games decided by more than 10 points. The Tar Heels are 11-0 at home.
North Carolina State’s Dereon Seabron has made at least 50% of his shots in eight of his last nine games.
North Carolina made some history it could have done without in the last game as the Tar Heels won for the first time in program history when shooting under 30% from the field in a 58-47 win over Boston College.
Virginia Tech Hokies at Florida State Seminoles
- Date, time, TV: Saturday, January 29, 2 p.m. ET ABC
Florida State (13-6, 6-3) has defeated Virginia Tech six times in a row with four of those contests ending up going over the total.
The Hokies (10-10, 2-7) have lost six of their last eight games and are 1-7 against the spread during that stretch. Virginia Tech has dropped five of its last six road games.
Florida State’s six-game winning streak ended with a 75-61 loss at Georgia Tech on Wednesday when the Seminoles were listed by the Las Vegas odds as 5.5-point favorites. Four of the Seminoles’ last six games have gone under the total. Florida State is 8-1 at home.
Virginia Tech has averaged just 67 points while losing three of its last 10 games. A concern is ball security as Florida State is averaging nearly nine steals per game over its last 10 games.
Pittsburgh Panthers at Boston College Eagles
- Date, time, TV: Saturday, January 29, 4 p.m. ET ACC Network
Pittsburgh (8-12, 3-6) has defeated Boston College in each of the last three meetings with all three going over the total. The Panthers did fail to cover in two of those three victories.
Each of the last two meetings was decided by two points including Pittsburgh’s 69-67 win on January 8 so that is something for those who bet online to consider..
Boston College (8-11, 3-6) has lost eight of its last 10 games and is 4-6 against the spread during that stretch. Six of the last eight BC games went over the total.
The Panthers have lost all five of their true road games.
Pittsburgh has been held under 70 points in each of its last six games although the Panthers managed to split those six contests. Boston College has scored less than 60 points in three of its last four outings.
Virginia Cavaliers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- Date, time, TV: Saturday, January 29, 6 p.m. ET ACC Network
Virginia (12-8, 6-4) has won the last six meetings with Notre Dame including a pair of victories in South Bend. Three of those games have been decided by six points or less.
Three of the last four matchups between the Cavaliers and Fighting Irish have gone under the total.
Virginia has won back-to-back games just once since the start of December. Four of the Cavaliers’ last six games have gone under the total.
Notre Dame (13-6, 6-2) has won nine of its last 10 games and has gone 7-3 against the spread in those contests. The Fighting Irish have won their last eight home games and covered in five of the last six games at home.
Virginia leads the ACC in scoring defense, allowing only 59.4 points per game. That defense could be tested by Dane Goodwin who has scored in double figures in every game this season.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Syracuse Orange
- Date, time, TV: Saturday, January 29, 8 p.m. ET ACC Network
Wake Forest’s 77-74 win on January 8 ended a four-game losing streak to Syracuse. The Demon Deacons have failed to cover in six of their last eight games against the Orange.
Wake Forest (17-4, 7-3) is 4-0 straight up and against the spread in its last four games with the last three all going under the total.
Syracuse (9-11, 3-6) is 2-6 in its last eight games although the Orange have covered against the spread in four of them.
Five of the last six Syracuse games have finished under the total.
The game features two of the ACC’s top scorers. Alondes Williams of Wake Forest is averaging 20.4 points per contest while Syracuse’s Buddy Boeheim is contributing 18.9 points per game.
