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NCAAB Predictions: TCU Horned Frogs

TCU won a game in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 1987 by topping Seton Hall in the first round before losing to Arizona in the second round last season. Now the Horned Frogs will look to build on that.

The Horned Frogs return their top six scorers, led by double-digit point producers Mike Miles, Damion Baugh and Emanuel Miller.

NCAAB Predictions: TCU Horned Frogs
Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images/AFP

Guard Francisco Farabello transferred to Creighton. He was third on the Horned Frogs with 38 made 3-pointers a season ago and that is the biggest departure for TCU.

When looking at the college basketball playoff odds, Texas Christian (+4000) is tied for 18th in the odds to win the national title.

TCU came in at No. 14 in the preseason Associated Press Top 25 poll. Baylor and Kansas, which tied for fifth, and No. 12 Texas are the only Big 12 teams ranked ahead of the Horned Frogs.

Texas Christian was picked to finish fourth in the preseason Big 12 poll.

Let’s check the latest NCAAB picks, stats, injury reports, and NCAAB predictions. We’ve plenty of NCAAB expert picks for you to consider.

Texas Christian Horned Frogs

  • 2021-22 record: 21-13
  • 2021-22 Big 12 Record: 8-10
  • Coach: Jamie Dixon
  • Odds to win national title: +4000

While some of the other top teams in the Big 12 had players embark on a professional career or head elsewhere, TCU has almost the same team as it did a season ago.

Miles leads the list of returnees after averaging 15.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.8 assists a season ago. He averaged 20.5 points in the NCAA Tournament and had 26 points in an upset of nationally ranked Texas Tech as well. He also had a 26-point effort against No. 1 Baylor.

He is a candidate for the Bob Cousy Award, which is presented annually to the best point guard in college basketball.

Baugh and Miller combined for 20.9 points and 10.7 rebounds per game. Something to consider for those who bet online is that the Horned Frogs were 12-5 when Baugh scored at least 10 points last season.

Charles O’Bannon, 6-foot-11 Eddie Lampkin Jr. and Micah Peavy are other returnees who averaged more than 20 minutes per game. Xavier Cork, a 6-9 forward, is another key reserve coming back.

Former Oklahoma State guard Rondel Walker, who had a 16-point game against TCU as a freshman, and former Southern Methodist guard Tyler Lundblade have transferred to play for the Horned Frogs.

Guard P.J. Haggerty is the top player among the incoming freshmen.

TCU Outlook

It somehow seemed fitting that Texas Christian’s 2021-22 season came to an end with an overtime loss. This is a team that struggled to finish games with four losses by five points or less.

With the bulk of the team coming back, expectations are pretty high for the Horned Frogs. An early March win over eventual national champion Kansas was one of the two victories against ranked teams. The Horned Frogs almost had two wins in a three-day span against the Jayhawks.

A key for TCU will be to shoot better, especially from the perimeter as the Horned Frogs made just 30.4% of their 3-point attempts. Committing more turnovers than assists didn’t help, either.

Saying that TCU is easing into the season would be kind. The first four games are not only all at home but come against teams that were a combined 31-93 a season ago. There are non-conference matchups against Providence and Southern Methodist that should help prepare the Horned Frogs for conference play.

Things will be a little more challenging once the Big 12 play begins. There will be road games in January against Baylor, Texas and Kansas.

TCU finished the season by going 8-2-1 against the college basketball odds in its last 11 games.

2022-23 TCU Schedule

  • Season opener: vs Arkansas Pine Bluff, Nov. 7, 7 p.m. ET
  • Big 12 opener: vs Texas Tech, Dec. 31, time TBA

Other Games to Watch

  • vs California (at Niceville, Fla.), Nov. 25, 8:30 p.m.
  • vs Clemson/Iowa (at Niceville, Fla), Nov. 26, time TBA
  • vs Providence, Nov. 30, 7 p.m.
  • vs Southern Methodist, Dec. 10, 7:30 p.m.
  • vs Utah (at Salt Lake), Dec. 21, 8 p.m.
  • at Baylor, Jan. 4, 8 p.m.
  • at Texas, Jan. 11, 8 pm.
  • at Kansas, Jan. 21, Noon
  • vs Oklahoma, Jan. 24, 7 p.m.
  • at Mississippi State, Jan. 28, 3 p.m.
  • at Oklahoma State, Feb. 4, 1 p.m.
  • vs Baylor, Feb. 11, 3 p.m.
  • vs Oklahoma State, Feb. 18, 1 p.m.
  • vs Kansas, Feb. 20, 8 p.m.
  • at Texas Tech, Feb. 25, 11 a.m.
  • vs Texas, March 1, 8 p.m.
  • at Oklahoma, March 4, 2 p.m.

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