The Big East-Big 12 Battle continues with a matchup between two Wildcats. Villanova will travel to face Kansas State, with both teams struggling recently, needing a win to get on the right track with a more challenging NCAA basketball schedule tomorrow and going forward.
In Villanova’s last game, it lost 57-55 to Drexel – its second straight loss to a team it was favored to beat by at least 10 points. On the other hand, Kansas State was forced into its second straight overtime game, beating North Alabama 75-74 to extend its winning streak to three.
Shooting Dims Villanova Odds
After beating Maryland, Texas Tech, North Carolina and Memphis in four straight games, it seemed like Villanova was trending upward in college basketball lines. That led to the Wildcats being ranked 18th in the AP Top 25 poll.
Not a good 24 hours to be a ranked college basketball team.
#1 Purdue (-225) – Loss
#3 Marquette (-160) – Loss
#7 Duke (-1000) – Loss
#12 Kentucky (-5000) – Loss
#18 Villanova (-700) – Loss pic.twitter.com/NbcT5Nr5Sr
— Covers (@Covers) December 3, 2023
However, Villanova has quickly lost its spot in the rankings after two straight losses to teams it should have beaten. The Wildcats lost to Saint Joseph’s and Drexel over the last two games, having been favored by at least 10 points in college basketball spreads. Both losses exposed issues that Villanova might have throughout the season.
One thing about this Villanova team is that it lives and dies by the three on both ends of the court. That has played a significant role in the last two losses. On the season, the Wildcats average the 15th-most 3-point attempts per game at 29, plus have attempted the seventh-most total threes. However, they shoot 31.8% from three,long range while opponents are 36.3%, attempting 25.1 per game.
In the loss to Saint Joseph’s, Villanova shot 10 of 37 from three while its opponent went 14 of 27. Similarly, in the loss to Drexel, Villanova went 5 of 27 while allowing 8 of 16 from behind the arc.
Kansas State Keeps Pulling Out Close Wins
Like Villanova, Kansas State is a team that relies heavily on its outside shooting. That is a big reason why the Wildcats often find themselves in a close game, leading to three overtime wins this season and two in the previous two games.
On paper, Kansas State does take fewer threes than Villanova, but the same premise of taking a lot of threes with a low conversion rate remains the same. The Wildcats are attempting 26.9 threes per game, 41st in the nation, but only make 31.6%. They have taken 215 threes, which is 57th in the country.
On defense, it’s again something similar to Villanova. Kansas State allows 23.5 threes per game and a 34.6% on those attempts. That makes it clear that whichever team can find their shooting touch in this matchup, facing a team that does not defend the 3-pointer well will have the advantage in college basketball odds.
In the last win, Kansas State did not play exactly within itself, only taking 18 threes, making just three of them, but did allow North Alabama to go 10 of 28 from behind the arc. For Kansas State to be an option in NCAA points spread today it must take and make threes.
Villanova vs Kansas State Best Bet
Both teams’ success is tied to their abilities behind the three-point line, making it a concerning choice for college basketball picks. Neither team is shooting well from three, but still tends to take a lot, so if one team gets hot, it could quickly turn into a blowout.
Villanova, who has been shooting the worst out of the two teams in this game, seems like the team that could get hot in this game to get the win, covering the spread.
College Basketball Best Bet: Villanova -2½ -110
Villanova vs Kansas State Betting Lines
Villanova vs Kansas Game Information
- Game: Villanova (6-3) vs Kansas State (6-2)
- Location: Bramlage Coliseum, Manhattan, KS
- Day/Time: Tuesday, Dec. 5, 7:00 p.m ET
- Villanova vs Kansas State Live Stream: TBS.com
Questions Of The Day
What team between Villanova and Kansas State will win the first half of the game?
Being at home, Kansas State might have the lead at halftime, but Villanova should still finish on top at the end.
Which player will score more points during the game?
Tylor Perry of Kansas State averages the most points per game in this matchup, which is 17.3.