The matchup between No.18 Baylor (14-5, 3-3) and UCF (12-7, 3-4) could be interesting, featuring one of the top offenses in the Big 12 against one of the best defenses in the conference. That different styles of play could make this game possibly exciting for the best college basketball bet today.
However, the Bears come into this game having lost their last three in narrow fashion, especially in a triple-overtime loss to TCU 105-102. The Knights also lost their game after being dominated by Cincinnati in the second half 68-57.
Baylor vs UCF Game Information
1. Game: Baylor (14-5) vs UCF (12-7)
2. Location: Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL
3. Day/Time: Wednesday, Jan. 31, 7:00 p.m. ET
4. Baylor vs UCF Live Stream: TBS.com
Having lost the last three games, College Basketball lines are starting to shift away from Baylor. However, UCF might not be able to be the team that extends this losing streak for Baylor despite this game being played in Orlando.
Baylor vs UCF Odds and Spreads
Baylor vs UCF Betting Trends
1. Bears are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater.
2. Bears are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater.
3. Knights are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
4. Knights are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
5. Knights are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
6. Under is 7-1 in Knights last 8 games vs a team with a winning % above .600.
7. Under is 6-1 in Knights last 7 overall.
8. Under is 6-1 in Knights last 7 home games.
Baylor vs UCF ATS Pick: Baylor -3
It might feel like a tough decision to back a team that has lost three straight games like Baylor has in college basketball spreads, but this could be a turning point for the team. However, it’s worth noting that the Bears were on the road for two of the losses and were not even favored as the ranked team.
The losing streak started with a 68-64 overtime loss to Kansas State on the road. Baylor was a one-point underdog in that game. Then the Bears traveled to face Texas and lost 75-73, covering a three-point spread as the underdogs. The losing streak was capped off by Baylor losing to TCU in triple overtime at home, having been favored by four points.
Those games could have gone either way and were separated by a razor-thin margin. It does feel like the loss to Kansas State could have the most impact on college basketball predictions for when Baylor faces UCF.
Kansas State has one of the best defenses in the Big 12, and so does UCF. Baylor will also be on the road when it faces UCF. The Knights’ defense makes this game really interesting because they are third in the conference in points allowed over at 64.5. Against conference opponents, they are ranked second, giving up 65.
Conversely, the Bears are averaging the most points this season in the conference at 85.1 while putting up 76.2 against Big 12 teams, ranking third. Baylor must rely on its offense to pull out a tight win.
Baylor vs UCF Over/Under Pick: Under 139
This game could play out similar to Baylor’s loss to Kansas State. Baylor’s elite offense will go up against one of the best defenses in the Big 12. While the outcome could be different, that game hit the under on the college basketball line set at 140.5.
What has led to Baylor’s success on offense this season has been its 3-point shooting. The Bears are shooting 40% from three on the season, making 8.8 out of 22 attempts. UCF is not shutting down opponents from shooting from deep, which is why Baylor should still win, but the Bears have still been streaky in conference play.
Against Big 12 teams, Baylor is shooting 29.2% from behind the arc on 21.7 attempts and making 6.3 per game. The struggling from deep against Big 12 teams could play into this game, hitting the under.
Baylor vs UCF Player Prop Pick: Jaylin Sellers Over 15.5 points (-118)
While Baylor should win this game and has better offensive players, it is hard to tell which one will have a big game. That does make picking UCF’s Jaylin Sellers the safe option for prop betting. He has been the main focal point for the Knights this season, averaging 17.2 points overall and 14.9 against Big 12 teams. At home, against a lackluster Baylor defense, Sellers should still have some success.
Baylor vs UCF Prediction
Questions Of The Day
Can Baylor win a close game after losing three straight?
After three straight tight losses, Baylor should be motivated to finally get a win against a team that might give them problems.
Does UCF’s defense have a chance against Baylor’s offense?
The biggest matchup of this game will be how UCF slows down Baylor’s offense. Baylor’s top-three offense will match up against UCF’s top-three defense, both within the Big 12.