Bet Gonzaga to Cover vs San Diego State
Two Elite 8 teams from last year’s NCAA Tournament square off on Friday night when San Diego State travels to Gonzaga. While it would be a resume building win for the Aztecs, the college basketball betting odds has Gonzaga as seven-point favorites.
San Diego State vs Gonzaga Game Information
- Game: San Diego State (10-2) vs Gonzaga (9-3)
- Location: McCarthey Athletic Center, Spokane, Wash.
- Date/Time: Dec. 29, 9 p.m.
- San Diego State vs Gonzaga Live Stream: TBS.com
San Diego State vs Gonzaga Odds and Spreads
San Diego State vs Gonzaga Betting Trends
- Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win of more than 20 points.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
- Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Aztecs last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Moneyline Pick: Gonzaga (-305)
Two of Gonzaga’s three losses on the season have come against top-five opponents in Purdue and UConn, which was no surprise in college basketball predictions. A common denominator in those two contests was abysmal 3-point shooting, connecting on less than 20 percent of its attempts. The Bulldogs possess a rare ability to space the floor with Anton Watson, Ben Gregg and Braden Huff, all standing at 6-foot-8 or taller, shooting over 40 percent from deep.
Along with Watson and Huff, the Bulldogs have three others that average double figures, with Wyoming transfer Graham Ike leading the way with over 14 points per contest. Two seasons ago, he averaged just under 20 points with the Cowboys. Creighton transfer Ryan Nembhard chips in 12 points but makes a bigger impact as a floor general. He averages 5.4 assists and has more than twice the assists as turnovers.
There is not a lot of value on the moneyline so consider betting it as part of a parlay when checking college basketball lines.
ATS Pick: Gonzaga -7
While Gonzaga is built on depth, San Diego State boasts one of the best scorers in the country in Jaedon LeDee. The junior forward is 10th in the nation with 21.6 points per game while leading the team with 9.4 rebounds. He can step out from beyond the arc, shooting 40 percent from deep. Junior wing Reese Waters has consistently been the team’s second-biggest contributor, reaching double figures in all but two contests. The Bulldogs only give up a stingy 81.5 points per 100 possessions.
Where the Aztecs may struggle is on the glass. Gonzaga is in the top 25 in the nation in defensive rebounds per game (29.75), offensive rebounds per game (13.75) and rebound margin (11). Outside of LeDee, they may not have the size to keep up with Ike, Watson, Gregg and Huff.
We believe Gonzaga’s depth, defense and rebounding will give them enough to cover the college basketball spread of -7 points.
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San Diego State vs Gonzaga Prediction
Gonzaga, 81, San Diego State 73
Questions of the Day
Is there value in looking for an upset on either side of this matchup?
Yes. San Diego State is squarely in the NCAA Tournament field and has three outright wins against Pac-12 opponents.
Based on their recent performances, which team appears to be in better form heading into this game?
Even though San Diego State is on a three-game winning streak, Gonzaga bounced back following a loss to UConn.
