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Bet Under in Miami-North Carolina Rematch
When the 2023-24 schedule was released, the late February matchup between Miami and North Carolina was expected to be one of the key games in the ACC. North Carolina has taken care of its part of the equation but Miami, coming off a run to the Final Four, has been a bitter disappointment. The Tar Heels are double-digit favorites against Miami for the third time in the last 14 meetings according to the NCAAB expert picks.
North Carolina went on the road and topped Miami 75-72 earlier this month to snap a two-game losing streak to the Hurricanes. It was the fourth straight game between the Hurricanes and the Tar Heels to go under the total.
Three of the last four games between Miami and North Carolina have been decided by single digits. The Tar Heels are listed by the college basketball spread as a 14-point favorite.
North Carolina is tied for sixth in the odds to win March Madness. Miami’s championship odds have fallen to +40000. The Tar Heels are ninth in the NCAA NET rankings and 7-4 in Quad 1 games. Miami is just 2-7 in Quad 1 games and 92nd in the NCAA NET rankings.
Keep on reading for more on the matchup between Miami and North Carolina.
Miami vs North Carolina Game Information
1. Game: Miami 15-13 (6-11 ACC) at North Carolina (21-6, 13-3)
2. Date/Time: Monday, Feb. 26, 7 p.m. ET
3. Location: Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC
4. Miami vs North Carolina Live Stream: TBS.com
North Carolina is 11-1 as a home favorite this season but the Tar Heels have covered in just seven of those games. Miami is 1-7 as the road underdog and 2-5-1 ATS when listed as the underdog on the road.
#UNC‘s Armando Bacot had 8 points & 10 rebounds in the 2nd half at UVA yesterday, & here is what he had to say after the game 👇https://t.co/pVYEtU7rjU
— Tar Heel Illustrated (@HeelIllustrated) February 25, 2024
North Carolina is 10-0 outright in its last 10 games as a double-digit favorite but just 6-4 ATS in those matchups.
North Carolina is priced at -1350 to win the game outright with the Hurricanes at +810 on the Moneyline.
Miami vs North Carolina Odds and Spreads
Miami vs North Carolina Betting Trends
1. North Carolina is 20-5 as a favorite.
2. Miami is just 2-9 when listed as the underdog.
3. The Tar Heels have covered in seven of its 12 home games.
4. Six of Miami’s nine road games went under the total.
5. The Tar Heels have covered in 12 of their last 17 contests.
6. Miami is 1-5 against the spread in its last six games.
7. The total has finished under in eight of Miami’s last 11 games.
8. Ten of the last 15 games for North Carolina went over the total.
Miami vs North Carolina ATS Pick: North Carolina -14
These teams are headed in different directions as North Carolina is 11-1 in its last 12 games while Miami has lost six games in a row.
When making the college basketball pick for this game, check on the status of Miami guard Nijel Pack.
Since losing to North Carolina, the Hurricanes fell to Clemson by 17 points and lost at home to Duke 84-55 while having more competitive games against Boston College and Georgia Tech.
It is really hard to have much confidence in this Miami team right now, especially if Pack continues to be sidelined.
Miami vs North Carolina Over/Under Pick: Under 154½
Each of the last four matchups between the teams would have finished under that total. Keep that in mind when looking at the best college basketball bets today.
Miami has been held under 80 points in each of its last six games while North Carolina went from scoring 96 points against Virginia Tech to putting up just 54 in a win over Virginia. Defensively, this Miami team bears little resemblance to Virginia but this is still a game that could land under the total.
Miami vs North Carolina Player Prop Pick: Cormac Ryan to score 14+ Points (-103)
Since being held to seven points on 2-of-6 shooting the last time that North Carolina played Miami, Notre Dame transfer Cormac Ryan has picked things up offensively for the Tar Heels.
Ryan is averaging 17.3 points over the last three games and is 14-for-29 from 3-point range.
He’s a solid bet at -103 to have at least 14 points and it could be worth the risk for him at +147 to score at least 16 points.
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Miami vs North Carolina Prediction
Questions Of The Day
How has Miami fared against the spread on the road against North Carolina?
Miami has won two of its last four games at North Carolina with the Hurricanes covering in three of those matchups. Three of those games went over the total.
Which team has the best record against the spread this season heading into the Miami-North Carolina matchup?
North Carolina is tied for second in the ACC with a 16-11 record against the spread. Miami is 13-13-2 against the college basketball spread.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
