After reviewing the NCAAB lines, the Big Ten battle between Ohio State and Penn State caught our eye. We see a weak line being offered by the major online sports betting sites and we intend to exploit it. Let’s break this Saturday night matchup down and keep cashing our college basketball picks.
Penn State began the season with an unblemished record after four games but the pendulum has certainly swung as the Nittany Lions have dropped five straight and enter this meeting with their Big Ten rivals from Ohio State with a 4-5 record.
In their last outing, the Lions were ultimately defanged by Maryland but it was a battle that spilled into overtime. When the final buzzer sounded, the Terps claimed an 81-75 win over the Lions but the cover belonged to Penn State, as the Nittany Lions rewarded their backers as 7½-point road underdogs according to Vegas NCAA odds.
Meanwhile, Ohio State has been on fire, currently with an 8-1 record. The Buckeyes’ only loss came to No. 15 Texas A&M, 73-66, in their second game. Over their last three games, the Buckeyes have won by an average margin of 19 points per game.
Ohio State vs Penn State Game Information
- Game: Ohio State (8-1) at Penn State (4-5)
- Date/Time: Saturday, December 8, 2023, 6:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Bryce Jordan Center, University Park, PA
- Buckeyes vs Nittany Lions Live Stream: TBS.com
Ohio State vs Penn State Betting Lines
Buckeyes vs Nittany Lions Best Bet
It’s important to set your own lines before checking out what the pros are dealing. In this matchup, I installed the Buckeyes as 7½-point road chalk before peeking at the oddsboard. Therefore, when I found out I was getting 2½ points of value, I immediately included Ohio State as part of my NCAAB picks.
Here’s the deal, the Buckeyes are one of the hottest shooting teams in the nation, averaging nearly 81 points per game while allowing 65.6 points per game. That’s a point differential of +15 while Penn State is one of the poorest shooting clubs yet is still averaging 75.7 points per game while allowing 70.4 points per game.
— Big Ten Men’s Basketball (@B1GMBBall) December 7, 2023
Ohio State is hitting 47.4% of its while torching the opposition when beyond the arc, connecting at a 40.1% clip, placing the Buckeyes12th in the nation in that category. This is where the Buckeyes will ruin the Nittany Lions.
Penn State is one of the poorest shooting teams in the nation and once the Nittany Lions fall behind – and they will – they will be pressing and putting up ill-advised shots against a team that is much better on the boards. That advantage the Buckeyes have on the glass will prove critical, especially in the second half, as the fatigued Lions will melt like butter in a blast furnace.
Lay it and like it with the Buckeyes.
NCAAB Pick: Ohio State -5
Questions Of the Day
What is the projected total for the game?
The oddsmakers have installed a total of 147.
Will there be a player with over 25 points in the game between Ohio State and Penn State?
No, Ohio State’s leading scorer, Bruce Thornton, averages only 18.7 points per game and is unlikely to score 25.