After losing one of the season’s biggest games, No. 9 Duke (16-5, 7-3 ACC) returns to the court to host Notre Dame (7-15, 2-9). With Duke near the top of the ACC standings and Notre Dame at the bottom, it seems pretty clear where NCAAB expert picks might lean.
The Fighting Irish issues persisted in their last game, losing their sixth straight in a 70-60 loss to Pittsburgh. The Blue Devils also lost their previous game on the road against their biggest rival, 93-84 to North Carolina.
Notre Dame vs Duke Game Information
- Game: Notre Dame (7-15) vs Duke (16-5)
- Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
- Day/Time: Wednesday, Feb. 7, 9:00 p.m. ET
- Notre Dame vs Duke Live Stream: TBS.com
With how well Duke has been playing recently, including the loss to North Carolina, it is hard not to back the Devils for NCAAB predictions today. On top of that, in the earlier matchup between these teams, Duke beat Notre Dame 67-59 while on the road.
Notre Dame vs Duke Odds and Spreads
Notre Dame vs Duke Betting Trends
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-1 in Fighting Irish last 9 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater.
- Blue Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Fighting Irish are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Fighting Irish last 8 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Devils last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Fighting Irish last 7 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater.
Notre Dame vs Duke ATS Picks: Duke -17
A couple of times this season, it felt like Duke was not playing at the level that college basketball predictions had envisioned. However, part of that had to do with injuries, and now that the Blue Devils are starting to get healthier, they are beginning to look like the team people expected.
Jared McCain tonight in 38 minutes:
Looked like a star despite the loss.🌟 pic.twitter.com/ZiyKnLmvXZ
— College Basketball Report (@CBKReport) February 4, 2024
Even though Duke lost to North Carolina, the offense still played well. Jared McCain led the team in scoring with 23 points and 11 rebounds. Kyle Filipowski kept his good play going with 22 points while Jeremy Roach added 20. The team shot 50.7% from the field, which could have been enough to get the win against Duke’s biggest rival.
However, 11 turnovers and big games from North Carolina’s stars led to the loss. Duke’s defense struggled to match the physicality of North Carolina, which fed off of the home crowd that was riled up for this rivalry matchup.
That won’t be the case in this game, so taking Duke to cover the college basketball spread could be the best option. In this game, the Blue Devils will be playing on their home court, feeding off their home fans, helping them to have a big win against Notre Dame.
Notre Dame vs Duke Over/Under Pick: Under 134 -110
Duke has a lot of talent on its roster, which has helped lead it to its current record and standing in the ACC. A lot of that talent comes out on the offensive side of the ball, which is why college basketball lines tend to lean toward a larger point total.
The Blue Devil average 81.1 points, second in the ACC. Against conference opponents, they put up 77.2, which places them fourth. On the other hand, Notre Dame does not have nearly the same offensive talent. The Fighting Irish are averaging 60 points against ACC opponents. However, their defense has been one of the best in the conference, allowing 65.5 points per game.
Duke’s defense isn’t far behind at 68.4 points per game, which is fourth in the ACC. If this game hits the over, it will be because Duke had a massive offensive performance. However, that seems unlikely given Notre Dame’s defense.
Notre Dame vs Duke Player Prop Pick: Kyle Filipowski Over 16.5 points (-113)
Facing Notre Dame for Duke will be a game about recovering from a loss and the home team proving it can play through physicality. That might lead to Filipowski playing a more significant role in the offense than he usually does, posting up more often. He already averages 16.8 points against conference opponents and scored 22 against North Carolina. Filipowski should have another big game against Notre Dame, with Duke wanting to establish him early.
Notre Dame vs Duke Prediction
Questions Of The Day
What are Duke's chances to repeat as the ACC Tournament winner?
Duke will always have a chance in the ACC tournament due to the talent on its roster. However, how the Blue Devils respond to the loss against North Carolina will be crucial.
Can Notre Dame make this game interesting?
It will be tough for Notre Dame to keep up with Duke’s offense, especially in Cameron Indoor, after a loss to North Carolina.