Duke to Cover Spread at NC State
Now that the ACC regular season is winding down and we are in March, waiting for NCAA Tournament play, many eyes are starting to turn toward Duke (23-6, 14-4 ACC). Duke will visit North Carolina State (17-12, 9-9) with a chance to be one of the best college basketball bets today.
In the Blue Devils’ last game, they dominated Virginia, never letting it get close and winning 73-48. The Wolfpack had a chance in their previous game to upset ACC-leading North Carolina, having a lead at halftime, but eventually lost 79-70.
Duke vs NC State Game Information
- Game: Duke (23-6, 14-4 ACC) vs NC State (17-12, 9-9)
- Location: PNC Arena, Raleigh, NC
- Day/Time: Monday, March 4, 7:00 p.m. ET
- Duke vs NC State Live Stream: TBS.com
This is the only time these two North Carolina schools will meet this season, which could affect NCAA basketball lines. Duke has won its last two games but has been playing really well overall while NC State has lost its two previous games and is starting to struggle.
Duke vs NC State Odds and Spreads
Duke vs NC State Betting Trends
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 34 games (+12.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+1.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- NC State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Duke vs NC State ATS Pick: Duke -6½
After what seemed like a rocky start of the season, Duke has figured things out with a 14-4 record in conference play, good for second place in the ACC. Over the last 10 games, the Blue Devils have an 8-2 record, which stays the same when looking at college basketball spreads.
In that stretch, the only two games that Duke did not cover were road losses to North Carolina and Wake Forest. Those were the only two games in which the Blue Devils were not favored over the last 10.
On top of that, the last two games since losing to Wake Forest have been very impressive covers. Duke covered a 20½-point spread when beating Louisville and dominated as 10-point favorites against Virginia.
Because of those two recent wins, it is hard not to back Duke in college basketball odds. Everything seems to be clicking at the right time for the Blue Devils, even with the loss to Wake Forest.
Duke vs NC State Over/Under Pick: Under 149½
Despite all the offensive talent on Duke, more often than not this season, it has relied on the defense to win games. Over this last impressive 10-game stretch, the Blue Devils have hit the under in every game they won and the over in both losses.
That might not be the most reliable stat for college basketball picks, but it makes the under look much more appealing. When facing ACC opponents, Duke’s defense has been solid, ranking third in the conference and allowing 67.1 points per game.
NC State has its strength on offense, averaging 76 points, but that lowers to 73.9 when facing ACC opponents. Duke’s defense should be able to keep the game low-scoring, trying to make a statement on the road.
Duke vs NC State Player Prop Pick: Kyle Filipowski Over 15.5 points (-117)
They had no answer for @kylefilipowski today pic.twitter.com/FR3qsd9bLq
— Duke Men’s Basketball (@DukeMBB) March 3, 2024
The injury that Kyle Filipowski suffered while the Wake Forest fans stormed the court does not seem to be an issue. After scoring just nine points in the win over Louisville, Filipowski returned with 21 to help get the big victory over Virginia. There is a good chance he has another big game on the road against NC State.
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Duke vs NC State Score Prediction
Questions Of The Day
How might Duke fare in March Madness this season?
After a rough start to the season, Duke has found itself in ACC play, potentially looking to make a deep run in March Madness.
Can NC State make it as a bubble team for March Madness?
With back-to-back losses and only two games left in ACC play, NC State will need an amazing conference tournament to be considered for March Madness.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
