Go with Iowa to Cover, South Carolina To Win National Title

The college basketball betting line has South Carolina listed as the 6½-point favorite against Iowa.

South Carolina outscored North Carolina State 29-6 in the third quarter in Friday’s semifinal as the Gamecocks covered as a 12-point favorite with the 78-59 win. Iowa failed to cover as a 3½-point favorite in a 71-69 win over UConn but the Hawkeyes still returned to the national title game.

When looking at NCAAW futures odds, South Carolina was first at -200 and Iowa was second at +300 in the odds of winning the women’s national title heading into Friday’s semifinals.

Iowa vs South Carolina Game Information

• Game: Iowa (35-4) vs. South Carolina (37-0)
• Date/Time: Sunday, April 7, 3 p.m. ET
• Location: Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, Cleveland, Ohio
• Iowa vs South Carolina Live Stream: TBS.com

South Carolina is 10-0 against ranked teams with the Gamecocks winning 30 of their 37 games this season by at least 10 points. Iowa has won 11 games in a row and is 7-2 against teams in the Associated Press Top 25 poll. The Hawkeyes are 9-2 in games decided by single digits. That could factor into the NCAAW expert picks.

THE GAMECOCKS ARE HEADED TO THE CHAMPIONSHIP ‼️@GamecockWBB cruises past NC State, 78-59, to move on. #WFinalFour pic.twitter.com/y1KXIHmbXb

— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessWBB) April 6, 2024

South Carolina is priced at -275 by the BetUS sportsbook to win the game outright with Iowa at +190 on the Moneyline.

The Hawkeyes and Gamecocks meet on Sunday, April 7, at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse in Cleveland at 3 p.m. ET. You can watch the game on ABC, ESPN, and ESPN+.

Iowa vs South Carolina Odds and Spreads

Iowa vs South Carolina Betting Trends

• South Carolina is 5-2 in the Final Four and 2-0 in the national title game.
• Five of South Carolina’s last eight postseason games finished over the total
• Iowa is 2-4 against the spread in its last six games.
• Five of the Hawkeyes’ last eight games finished under the total.
• South Carolina has covered against the Las Vegas odds in two of its last eight games
• Iowa is 20-16 against the spread this season.
• Iowa is four games over .500 against the spread this season.
• Iowa will be the underdog for the first time in the 2024 NCAA tournament

Iowa vs South Carolina Over/Under Pick: Under 159½ (-120)

South Carolina has limited four of its five opponents during the NCAA tournament to fewer than 60 points. That is something to consider for NCAAW over/under predictions going against one of the top offensive teams in the country.

Iowa scored 45 points in the second half against UConn after being limited to 26 points in the first two quarters. Unlike UConn, South Carolina has the ability to turn to its bench if any of the starters get into foul trouble and that could play a role in South Carolina’s defense slowing down Caitlin Clark and the Hawkeyes.

Iowa vs South Carolina ATS Pick: Iowa +6½ (-120)

Iowa escaped with the aid of a disputed illegal screen call in the closing seconds against Connecticut in the semifinals while South Carolina looked every bit the part of an undefeated team against NC State.

South Carolina’s 6-foot-7 Kamilla Cardoso and 6-foot-3 Ashlyn Watkins combined for 30 points and 31 rebounds against NC State so the Iowa frontcourt will have its hands full.

Look for South Carolina to become the 10th NCAA Division I women’s basketball team to finish undefeated, but the Hawkeyes could make enough shots to cover as the 6½-point underdog.

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Iowa vs South Carolina NCAAW Final Prediction

South Carolina 78, Iowa 73

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