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Go with Iowa to Cover, South Carolina To Win National Title

The best team in women’s college basketball will go up against the best player when undefeated South Carolina takes on Iowa’s record-breaking Caitlin Clark in Sunday’s national title game. The NCAAW latest lines list South Carolina as the favorite to win the program’s third national title.

This is the second consecutive season that Iowa and South Carolina will meet in the Final Four. Iowa won 77-73 in the 2023 semifinals as an 11½-point underdog with the game landing on the 150-point total.

Go with Iowa to Cover, South Carolina To Win National Title
Kamilla Cardoso #10 Of The South Carolina Gamecocks / Mike Lawrie / Getty Images North America / Getty Images Via Afp

The college basketball betting line has South Carolina listed as the 6½-point favorite against Iowa.

South Carolina outscored North Carolina State 29-6 in the third quarter in Friday’s semifinal as the Gamecocks covered as a 12-point favorite with the 78-59 win. Iowa failed to cover as a 3½-point favorite in a 71-69 win over UConn but the Hawkeyes still returned to the national title game.

When looking at NCAAW futures odds, South Carolina was first at -200 and Iowa was second at +300 in the odds of winning the women’s national title heading into Friday’s semifinals.


Iowa vs South Carolina Game Information

  • Game: Iowa (35-4) vs. South Carolina (37-0)
  • Date/Time: Sunday, April 7, 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, Cleveland, Ohio
  • Iowa vs South Carolina Live Stream: TBS.com


South Carolina is 10-0 against ranked teams with the Gamecocks winning 30 of their 37 games this season by at least 10 points. Iowa has won 11 games in a row and is 7-2 against teams in the Associated Press Top 25 poll. The Hawkeyes are 9-2 in games decided by single digits. That could factor into the NCAAW expert picks.

South Carolina is priced at -275 by the BetUS sportsbook to win the game outright with Iowa at +190 on the Moneyline.

The Hawkeyes and Gamecocks meet on Sunday, April 7, at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse in Cleveland at 3 p.m. ET. You can watch the game on ABC, ESPN, and ESPN+.


Iowa vs South Carolina Odds and Spreads


  • South Carolina is 5-2 in the Final Four and 2-0 in the national title game.
  • Five of South Carolina’s last eight postseason games finished over the total
  • Iowa is 2-4 against the spread in its last six games.
  • Five of the Hawkeyes’ last eight games finished under the total.
  • South Carolina has covered against the Las Vegas odds in two of its last eight games
  • Iowa is 20-16 against the spread this season.
  • Iowa is four games over .500 against the spread this season.
  • Iowa will be the underdog for the first time in the 2024 NCAA tournament


Iowa vs South Carolina Over/Under Pick: Under 159½ (-120)

South Carolina has limited four of its five opponents during the NCAA tournament to fewer than 60 points. That is something to consider for NCAAW over/under predictions going against one of the top offensive teams in the country.

Iowa scored 45 points in the second half against UConn after being limited to 26 points in the first two quarters. Unlike UConn, South Carolina has the ability to turn to its bench if any of the starters get into foul trouble and that could play a role in South Carolina’s defense slowing down Caitlin Clark and the Hawkeyes.



Iowa vs South Carolina ATS Pick: Iowa +6½ (-120)

Iowa escaped with the aid of a disputed illegal screen call in the closing seconds against Connecticut in the semifinals while South Carolina looked every bit the part of an undefeated team against NC State.

South Carolina’s 6-foot-7 Kamilla Cardoso and 6-foot-3 Ashlyn Watkins combined for 30 points and 31 rebounds against NC State so the Iowa frontcourt will have its hands full.

Look for South Carolina to become the 10th NCAA Division I women’s basketball team to finish undefeated, but the Hawkeyes could make enough shots to cover as the 6½-point underdog.



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Iowa vs South Carolina NCAAW Final Prediction

South Carolina 78, Iowa 73



Questions of the Day

How have Iowa and South Carolina fared in their most recent national championship games?

South Carolina defeated UConn 64-49 in the 2022 championship game. Iowa fell to LSU 102-85 in the 2023 title contest.

What were the odds to win the national title for Iowa and South Carolina heading into the 2023-24 season?

Iowa was third at +800 and South Carolina was tied for fourth at +1000 in the championship odds when the season began.

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