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Go with Texas-NC State Elite Eight Game To Go Under

The women’s Division I teams to win in the Sweet 16 on Friday by at least 10 points will be squaring in the Portland 4 Regional final after top-seeded Texas rolled past Gonzaga and North Carolina State upset No. 2 seed Stanford. The NCAAW latest lines list Texas as the favorite to advance to the Final Four.

Texas has won six of the eight previous meetings with North Carolina State including NCAA tournament wins in 1990 and 2017. North Carolina State won the most recent matchup 84-73 in 2019 to snap a five-game losing streak to the Longhorns.

Go with Texas-NC State Elite Eight Game To Go Under
Shay Holle #10 Of The Texas Longhorns / Steph Chambers / Getty Images North America / Getty Images Via Afp

North Carolina State was 2-13 in Sweet 16 games before the upset of Stanford. The Wolfpack lost in the 2022 regional final. It was the first Elite Eight game since reaching the Final Four in 1998. Texas has lost its last three Elite Eight games since advancing to the 2003 Final Four.

The college basketball betting lines list the Texas Longhorns as the 5½-point favorite.

When looking at NCAAW futures odds, Texas is fourth at +900 and North Carolina State is eighth at +3000 in the odds of winning the national title heading into the regional finals.


Game Information

  • Game: North Carolina State (30-6) vs Texas (33-4)
  • Date/Time: Sunday, March 31, 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Moda Center, Portland, OR
  • North Carolina State vs Texas Live Stream: TBS.com


Texas is 3-4 in games decided by single digits this season with North Carolina State 8-2 in games decided by nine points or less. Texas has been better at pulling away late in games while the Wolfpack is certainly battle-tested.

The Longhorns and Wolfpack meet on Sunday, March 31, at Moda Center in Portland. You can watch the game on ABC at 3 p.m. ET.

North Carolina State vs Texas Odds and Spreads

  • North Carolina State is 1-1 in Elite Eight games.
  • Texas is 3-8 in March Madness regional finals.
  • Four of North Carolina State’s last six games went under the total.
  • Each of the last four Texas games went under the total.
  • North Carolina is 4-2 against the spread over the last six games.
  • The Longhorns are 5-1 against the Las Vegas odds over the last six games.
  • Texas is 6-0 outright in its last six games as a favorite.
  • North Carolina State has won its last three games as the underdog.

Over/Under Pick: Under 136

Each of the last four opponents for Texas has been held under 60 points as the Longhorns have used defense to get to the regional final. After averaging 58 points per game in the ACC tournament, North Carolina State is putting up 73.3 points in the three NCAA tournament games.

Texas head coach Vic Schaefer didn’t get the “Minister of Defense” nickname by accident as he has shut down elite offensive teams during the March Madness bracket before. That is something to consider for NCAAW over/under predictions.

Both teams have thrived in low-scoring games in March so don’t be surprised if this game heads that way.



ATS Pick: Texas -5½

It is easy to forget that Texas has played without star point guard Rori Harmon since Nov. 8. Freshman Madison Booker has taken a larger role since the season-ending injury to Harmon but she has struggled in the NCAA tournament.

Aaliyah Moore averages 15.7 points in the NCAA tournament and has back-to-back double-doubles. Aziaha James is averaging 23.3 points in the tourney for North Carolina State.

Keep an eye on the updates of Texas forward Taylor Jones after she missed the regional final as she works her way through concussion protocol.

North Carolina State is 8-3 against ranked teams this season so this is a tough team to discount but Texas looked pretty hard to beat the last time out.



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Score Prediction

Texas 69, North Carolina State 62



Questions of the Day

How have North Carolina State and Texas fared in their most recent regional finals?

Texas lost to Stanford 59-50 in the 2022 Spokane Regional final. North Carolina State fell to UConn 91-87 in overtime in the 2022 Bridgeport Regional final.

What were the odds to win the national title for Oregon State and South Carolina heading into the 2023-24 season?

Texas was tied for 12th at +2600 in the championship odds when the season began. North Carolina State was tied for 27t at +25000 in the title odds at the start of the 2023-24 campaign.

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