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Houston Should Win But Fail to Cover Spread as Double-Digit Favorite

It has been a rude welcome to the Big 12 for Houston as the Cougars have dropped two of their first three conference games. Houston returns home after dropping back-to-back conference road games. Our college basketball lines list host Houston as a double-digit favorite.

The teams have met just once in the previous seven seasons, with Houston winning in 2020 64-53 as a three-point underdog. The game landed under the 129-point total. Texas Tech had five in a row against Houston before the Cougars won the last two matchups by 13 and 11 points, covering in both games.

Houston Should Win But Fail to Cover Spread as Double-Digit Favorite
Houston Should Win But Fail to Cover Spread as Double-Digit Favorite

When looking at college basketball spreads, Houston is favored by 13 points.


Forward Devan Cambridge will miss the rest of the season for Texas Tech. He is third on the Red Raiders in scoring and rebounding. For Houston, Terrance Arceneaux (5.5 points, 4.5 rebounds in 11 games) is out for the season.

Houston fell from second to fifth in the Associated Press and USA Today coaches polls. Texas Tech moved into both national polls at No. 25.

When looking at our college basketball futures odds, Houston is tied for second at +1000 in the odds of winning the national championship. Texas Tech (+6000) is tied for 21st in the odds of winning March Madness.

Texas Tech vs Houston Game Information

1. Game: No. 25 Texas Tech (14-2, 3-0 Big 12) vs No. 5 Houston (14-2, 1-2)
2. Date/Time: Wednesday, Jan. 17, 9 p.m. ET
3. Location: Fertitta Center, Houston, TX
4. Texas Tech vs Houston Live Stream: TBS.com

 

Here’s a look at some March madness lines to consider!

Texas Tech is alone in first place in the Big 12 standings with a 3-0 record. However, the Red Raiders are just 1-1 in true road games. Houston is 9-0 at home and 6-2-1 against the spread at home. All of those games came with Houston listed as the home favorite.

Texas Tech is 6-4-1 ATS as a road underdog since the start of last season.

The teams will meet on Wednesday, Jan. 17, at 9:00 pm ET. You can watch the game on ESPN+. Read on for our NCAA basketball predictions.

Texas Tech vs Houston Odds and Spreads

1. Just two of Houston’s nine home games went over the total.
2. Houston has covered in seven of its nine home games.
3. Texas Tech has covered against the spread in four of its last five games.
4. The total has gone under in six of Houston’s last eight games against Big 12 teams.
5. Both of Texas Tech’s road games landed over the total.
6. The total went over in seven of the last 10 games played by the Red Raiders.
7. Seven of Texas Tech’s last eight road games went over the total.
8. Four of Houston’s last five games went under the total.

ATS Pick: Texas Tech +13

Look for Houston to get back to winning ways. However, that 13-point spread seems to be a little high.

Nobody is expecting Texas Tech to finish the season atop the Big 12 standings, but don’t be surprised to see the feisty Red Raiders hang around in this matchup.

The Red Raiders are strong defensively and a good foul-shooting team that doesn’t foul too often; that combination will keep them in most games.

We’re not calling for Texas Tech to pull the upset, just to keep the final margin under 13 points.

Over/Under Pick: Under 129½

Houston is first in defensive efficiency, according to the Pomeroy College Basketball database. Houston is 18th and Texas Tech is 32nd in offensive efficiency.

Texas Tech won a bit of a slugfest, topping Kansas State 60-59 the last time out, while it has been a bit of a grind for Houston in the last couple of games.

However, the total of 129½ is one of the lowest among Wednesday’s games.

Player Prop Pick: L.J. Cryer Over 14.5 Points (-124)

Between his time at Baylor and Houston, L.J. Cryer is a 1000-point scorer and a player who has shot 41% from 3-point range.

In the last two games, Houston’s top scorer is 4-for-23 from the field and 2-of-13 on 3-pointers. He is too talented for that to continue, so look for him to bounce back.

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Texas Tech vs Houston Prediction

Houston 72, Texas Tech 64

March Madness odds are heating up. Bet on March Madness and see if you can be the champion!

 

 

Questions of the Day

Will L.J. Cryer score over 17.5 points in this game?


With a total of 10 points in his last two games, it would seem unlikely, but we think he’ll bounce back and like his prop of over 14.5 points.

Will Jamal Shead record over 6.5 assists?


Shead is putting up six assists per game, so it is not much of a reach to suggest that he might go over 6.5 assists against the Red Raiders.

The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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