Indiana vs Michigan State Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Hoosiers Looking to Sweep Season Series
Michigan State Home for First Time in Two Weeks
Things got pretty physical the first time Indiana and Michigan State met with 41 fouls called and 52 free throws attempted. It could be more of the same on Tuesday night.
Indiana outscored Michigan State 27-12 on 3-pointers in the Jan. 22 meeting with the Hoosiers shooting 60% from 3-point range. If they approach that number again, it is going to be a long night at the office for the Spartans.
Indiana is just 4-6 on the road while 10 of Michigan State’s 16 wins have come at home. The Spartans are 3-4 against teams ranked in the top 25 in the Associated Press poll.
Indiana will be without third-leading scorer and assists leader Xavier Johnson as a result of a foot injury. Center Logan Duncomb is out for the season.
For Michigan State, it should be all hands on deck for the rematch.
Indiana fell three spots in the Associated Press Top 25 poll and two positions in the coaches’ poll and is 17th in both national rankings. Michigan State isn’t receiving votes in either poll.
According to the college basketball odds, Indiana is (+2800) is tied for 13th in the odds to win the national title. Michigan State (+10000) is tied for 28th. Indiana (+1500) is second only to Purdue in the odds to win the Big Ten title.
Indiana is 18th in the latest NCAA NET rankings. Michigan State is at No. 39 so when it comes to the March Madness bracket, the Spartans need all the quality wins they can get.
Let’s check the latest college basketball news, stats, injury reports and college basketball lines for Indiana vs Michigan State. We’ve got plenty of NCAA basketball picks for you to consider.
Never A Dull Moment
Each of Indiana’s last five games have been decided by six points or less. In the last three, the trailing team had a chance to tie or take the lead in the closing seconds.
Indiana has won two of those three games, winning at Michigan 62-61 and topping Illinois 71-68 at home.
Trayce Jackson-Davis would be among the front-runners in the Big Ten Player of the Year race in many years. However, with the way Purdue’s Zach Edey is playing, he will likely not only win the top honor in the Big Ten or the national player of the year.
Jackson-Davis has five straight 20-point games and is shooting 55% during that stretch.
Trayce Jackson-Davis recorded his 4th career game with 25 points, 10 rebounds and 5 blocks today.
No other player in the Big Ten has more than one such game in the last 25 seasons. In fact, the rest of the Big Ten has recorded 5 such games combined over that span. pic.twitter.com/C0laWllC30
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) February 18, 2023
The issue has been a lack of offense support with freshman Jalen Hood-Schifino the only other double-digit scorer for Indiana.
Five of Indiana’s last six games have finished under the college basketball betting lines total while each of the last five road games have also gone under the total.
Michigan State is Home Again
This will be Michigan State’s first home game in two weeks.
The Spartans were slated to play host to Minnesota during that stretch. However, the game was postponed after a shooting on the Michigan State campus.
The last time Michigan State played at the Breslin Center came during a 63-58 win over Maryland on Feb. 7.
Keep an eye on the perimeter shooting of leading scorer Joey Hauser, who is connecting on 45% of his 3-point attempts at home compared to 37% away from home. Tyson Walker is averaging 15 points at home and 11.5 on the road.
Michigan State is 2-5 against the Las Vegas odds in its last seven games.
Indiana vs Michigan State Game Injuries
Indiana vs Michigan State Head-to-Head
Indiana snapped a three-game losing streak to Michigan State with its 82-69 win on Jan. 22 as a 4½-point favorite at home. It was the third time in the last four meetings that the game finished over the total.
After four straight games between the Hoosiers and Spartans were decided by four points or less, the average margin of victory in the last four games is 10.3 points.
Michigan State has won six of the last seven times that Indiana came to East Lansing as has covered in five of the last six.
Indiana vs Michigan State Game Information
- Game: Indiana (19-8, 10-6 Big Ten) vs Michigan State (16-10, 8-7)
- Location: Breslin Center, East Lansing, MI
- Day/Time: Tuesday, Feb. 21, 9:00 p.m. ET
- Indiana vs Michigan State Live Stream: TBS.com
Indiana vs Michigan State Betting Lines
Indiana vs Michigan State Picks and Prediction
Michigan State faded last the last time out against Michigan and that makes this an even more important game. A loss would drop the Spartans to .500 in conference play and the Spartans could be headed to the dreaded “bubble team” designation when it comes to the March Madness talk.
One issue for Michigan State has been that only Penn State has attempted fewer free throws among Big Ten teams than the Spartans. Meanwhile, Indiana has attempted the second-fewest 3-pointers among Big Ten teams.
Michigan State held Jackson-Davis in check in the first three career meetings as he averaged 12.7 points and 5.3 rebounds. It was a different story earlier as Indiana’s top scorer had 31 points and 15 rebounds. If he puts up similar numbers on Tuesday, the Spartans could be in trouble.
Michigan State is 13-2 when listed as the favorite by the sportsbook with Indiana just 2-5 as the underdog.
Michigan State is 7-5 against the spread (ATS) at home while Indiana is just 2-7-1 ATS on the road.
Indiana is listed at +135 in our Vegas college basketball lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Hoosiers, you have a chance to win $135. Michigan State is -155, offering a chance to win $65 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Indiana a 42.55% chance to win, with Michigan State at 60.78%.
