Moody Center Hosts Top-25 Matchup
The Big 12 is a gift that keeps on giving. Tuesday features another top-25 battle between the No. 23 Iowa State Cyclones (17-9, 8-6 Big 12) and No. 8 Texas Longhorns (21-6, 10-4). This will be an intriguing matchup between two great backcourts and contrasting styles. The Cyclones like to play slow-paced defensive games, while the Longhorns want to play fast with their talented offense.
Iowa State is 1-3 outright and against the spread (ATS) over the last four games, while Texas is 2-2 and 1-3 ATS. The Cyclones won their last meeting with Texas, 78-67, on Jan. 17. Will the Longhorns get revenge, or will ISU sweep the season series?
Iowa State Missing Key Scorer
After covering six consecutive games from Dec. 31 to Jan. 17, Iowa State has struggled. In fact, the Cyclones are 3-6 outright and 2-7 ATS since Jan. 21. ISU has also lost six consecutive games on the road while going 1-5 ATS.
An inconsistent offense remains Iowa State’s top concern. The Cyclones shot only 30.6% in Saturday’s 61-55 loss against then-No. 12 Kansas State. ISU has also shot under 36% in two of the last games. Guard Caleb Grill (10 points) missed the previous game and played for only 12 minutes against TCU on Feb. 15. The Cyclones’ 3-point shooting takes a significant hit without their third-leading scorer. Grill is questionable for Tuesday with a back injury.
Iowa State’s perimeter defense has also been shaky, allowing at least seven made 3-pointers in three of the last four. This must be better, as Texas has made at least 10 3-pointers in two of the last three.
Longhorns’ Hunter Faces Former Squad
After thrashing West Virginia 94-60 on Feb. 11, the Longhorns had a disappointing week. Texas lost 74-67 to Texas Tech on Feb. 13, followed by an underwhelming 85-83 win in overtime against Oklahoma on Saturday. However, the Longhorns’ season goals are still in great shape.
UT is a half-game behind Kansas at the top of the Big 12. NCAAB odds have the Longhorns as the second choice to win the conference (+150). In addition, Texas’ national championship odds are up to +1800. The Longhorns are tracking for a No. 2 seed in March Madness, which can move to a No. 1 seed with difficult upcoming games.
Texas cannot afford to have more defensive lapses against Iowa State, which is 88th in offensive efficiency. Underwhelming offenses will gain confidence and get hot if given easy looks. The Longhorns’ last two opponents shot at least 46% from the field.
Guard Tyrese Hunter, who transferred from Iowa State in the offseason, could be the X-factor of this matchup. He has struggled in the previous four games at 6.8 points per game while shooting under 40% in three of four. Hunter has yet to meet expectations in Austin. Will he find extra motivation against his former team?
Iowa State vs Texas Game Injuries
Iowa State vs Texas Head-to-Head
This has been an even series over the previous four games, with both going 2-2 outright and ATS. The home team has won nine of the last 10 matchups, and Texas has won seven straight home games against Iowa State.
Iowa State vs Texas Game Information
- Game: Iowa State (17-9, 8-6 Big 12) vs Texas (21-6, 10-4)
- Location: Moody Center, Austin, TX
- Day/Time: Tuesday, Feb. 21, 9:00 p.m. ET
- Iowa State vs Texas Live Stream: TBS.com
Iowa State vs Texas Betting Lines
Iowa State vs Texas Picks and Prediction
Texas’ defense played poorly in the last two. However, both opponents ranked in the top 20% nationally of field goal percentage. In contrast, Iowa State is outside the top 100 in field goal percentage. The Cyclones’ offense will be even worse if Grill does not play.
ISU’s perimeter defense is also a concern. Texas guards Marcus Carr (17.1 points) and Sir’Jabari Rice (12 points) have been a two-headed monster in February. Both players have scored at least 20 points in two of the last four, and one of the two has hit at least four 3-pointers in three straight. The Longhorns’ guards will lead to a cover and win.
Texas is listed at -330 in our Vegas college basketball lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Longhorns, you have a chance to win $30. Iowa State is +270, offering a chance to win $270 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Texas a 76.74% chance to win, with the Cylones at 27.03%.
Iowa State vs Texas Trends
Iowa State vs Texas Edge
Iowa State vs Texas Results
Iowa State vs Texas Game Summary