The annual Jimmy V Classic features a Madison Square Garden doubleheader Tuesday night. The Iowa Hawkeyes oppose the No. 15 Duke Blue Devils in the second game, scheduled after No, 17 Illinois meets No. 2 Texas.
Duke (8-2) found its footing with back-to-back wins last week. Meanwhile, Iowa (6-1) has enjoyed a hot start, including a 5-2 record against the spread (ATS). Do the Blue Devils continue to roll, or will the Hawkeyes remain a boon to bettors?
Explosive Hawkeye Offense
Iowa has cooled off over the last three games, 1-2 ATS. In late November, Iowa ended its lowest scoring totals of the season (74 and 66 points, respectively). The 79-66 loss to No. 24 TCU was Iowa’s worst performance, 42.6% field-goal percentage (3-of-17 3-pointers).
The Hawkeyes bounced back in the last game, winning (81-65) and covering against Georgia Tech. The two previous games proved how dependent Iowa is on leading scorer Kris Murray (21 points/game). He ended with just 21 points total over the two games. Murray did rebound against Tech with 31 points. Iowa will need more offense balance versus Duke’s top-25 defense.
Iowa is sixth nationally, 86.4 points per game. It will be looking to outscore Duke in a fast-paced Tuesday game, if Iowa has its way. In neutral-site games, Iowa is 0-2 ATS, the under is 2-0.
Scoop on Free Play from the Locker Room
Improving Devil Efficiency
So, after a 75-56 loss to No. 4 Purdue, Duke defeated No. 25 Ohio St. (81-72), then Boston College (75-59) in consecutive games. The Blue Devils had scoring issues in the first eight contests, but after back-to-back efficient shooting games, offense is rounding into form.
Duke’s attacked the paint, attempting fewer 3-pointers over the last two, leading to success. Freshman Dereck Lively II has been inserted as a starter, and his minutes have increased. Overall, the Blue Devils are becoming more efficient on offensive due to better shot selection.
Iowa will be Duke’s third Big Ten opponent this season. Against Purdue and Ohio St., the Blue Devils went 1-1 ATS. Also, Duke has gone 1-3 ATS in neutral-site games.
Iowa vs Duke Game Injuries
Iowa vs Duke Head-to-Head
Duke is 7-1 all-time against Iowa, having last played in 2001 (Blue Devils, 80-62). Three of Duke’s seven wins have been by double digits this season.
Iowa vs Duke Game Information
- Game: Iowa (6-1) vs Duke (8-2)
- Day/Time: Tuesday, Dec. 6th, 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
- Iowa vs Duke Live Stream: TBS.com
Iowa vs Duke Betting Lines
Iowa vs Duke Picks & Prediction
If Duke’s offense continues at this rate, the Blue Devils figure to be squarely in the national championship picture, priced at +1400. Iowa is built around the success of its offense, while Duke is top-30 in both offensive and defensive efficiency.
Iowa can’t win this game with a questionable defense. Expect the Blue Devils to cover as they attack the paint with size. Also, take the over. The Dukies have gone over in their last couple, and Iowa prefers to simply outscore its opponents.
Duke is listed at -150 in our Vegas NCAAB lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Blue Devils, there’s a chance to win $67. Iowa is +130, offering a chance to win $130 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Duke a 60.00% chance to win with the Hawkeyes at 43.48%.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.