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Lay Points with Duke vs Louisville
Duke looks to bounce back from a home loss to unranked Pittsburgh when the Blue Devils hit the road to meet a Louisville team that is in last place in the ACC. The college basketball betting lines have the visiting Blue Devils as the favorite.
Duke has won the last three meetings against Louisville with the average margin of victory being 13.3 points. This is the eighth time in the last nine games between the Blue Devils and Cardinals that Duke is favored.
The college basketball spread has Duke listed as the 14-point favorite.
Duke fell six spots to No. 12 in the USA Today coaches poll with the Blue Devils going from seventh to 12th in the Associated Press poll.
When it comes to the odds of winning March Madness, Duke had the best odds of winning the ACC title while Louisville was ahead of only Notre Dame in the ACC championship odds.
Keep on reading for more about the matchup between Duke and Louisville.
Duke vs Louisville Game Information
1. Game: Duke 13-4 (4-2 ACC) at Louisville 6-12 (1-6 ACC)
2. Date/Time: Tuesday, Jan. 23, 7 p.m. ET
3. Location: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
4. Duke vs Louisville Live Stream: TBS.com
Expect Duke to tighten up some things defensively after allowing Pittsburgh to shoot 51% from the field and 50% on 3-pointers the last time out.
Five of Louisville’s six wins this season have come at home. However, the Cardinals lost both games as the home underdog while Duke has split its four games as a road favorite.
Since the start of last season, Louisville is 8-8 against the college basketball spread as a home underdog. Duke has covered in just three of its last 10 games as the road favorite.
Duke vs Louisville Odds and Spreads
Duke vs Louisville Betting Trends
- Duke is 13-4 this season as a favorite.
- Louisville has lost 10 of its 11 games when listed as the underdog.
- Duke has covered in just one of its four road games.
- Seven of Louisville’s 10 home games landed over the total.
- The Las Vegas odds total has gone over in four of Duke’s last six games.
- Duke is 6-3 against the spread over the last nine games.
- In five of Louisville’s last seven games, the total went over.
- The total has gone under in five of Duke’s last six road games.
ATS Pick: Duke -14
Louisville’s lone ACC win this season came as a double-digit underdog at home against Clemson. However, the Cardinals are 1-5 in the last six games as a double-digit home underdog.
Duke has won three of the last four games as a double-digit road favorite.
Coming off the loss to Pittsburgh, expect Duke to have a chip on its shoulder and that could be an issue for Louisville.
Over/Under Pick: Over 150
Keep an eye on the injury updates, especially on the Duke side when deciding whether to go with this game to finish over the total. The line opened at 154 but has quickly moved to 150.
Guard Jeremy Roach and forward Mark Mitchell are both questionable for Duke. They are the No. 2 and 3 scorers for Duke.
Duke coach Jon Scheyer said he’s “hopeful” injured starters Jeremy Roach and Mark Mitchell will practice Monday ahead of Tuesday night’s game at Louisville. Will be a game-day decision on both put practicing first is a must.
— Stephen Wiseman (@stevewisemanNC) January 22, 2024
Emmanuel Okorafor and Dennis Evans are both questionable for Louisville.
Duke is putting up 82 points per game this season while Louisville allows 78 points per game so that could be enough to go with this game to land over the total when making best college basketball bets today.
Player Prop Pick: Kyle Filipowski 19+ Points (-118)
With the uncertainty surrounding two of Duke’s top players, this is the time for somebody as talented as Duke sophomore Kyle Filipowski to take control.
Although he scored 19 points against Pittsburgh, he attempted only 10 shots and that is not good enough. He could be primed for a big game. He is averaging 25 points over his last three games. He had a pretty quiet game with 13 points in 23 minutes the last time he faced Louisville.
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Duke vs Louisville Prediction
Questions Of The Day
How has Louisville fared against ranked teams this season?
After nearly upsetting Texas before falling 81-80 as a 17½-point underdog, Louisville lost to Kentucky by 19 points and to North Carolina by 16 points. The Cardinals did cover in the loss to the Tar Heels.
Which Louisville player could be a solid prop bet against Duke?
Mike James is averaging 18.8 points over his last five games and he could be a player worth monitoring when it comes to the player prop bets.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
