Maryland vs Florida Odds, Sweet 16 Prediction and March Madness Picks for March 27
- Bet Florida to cover the 6-point NCAA spread vs Maryland.
- Bet Alijah Martin of Florida to score 15+ points.
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Maryland vs Florida March Madness Odds



The top-seeded Florida Gators survived a tough second-round test and should be re-energized as they take on the Maryland Terrapins as a 6-point favorite on the college basketball line in the West Region semifinals on Thursday at San Francisco.
The Gators trailed much of the second half before pulling out a 77-75 win over Connecticut on Sunday for their eighth straight win. First-team All American Walter Clayton Jr. leads a team that is +375 in the March Madness odds to win the NCAA Tournament.
Maryland survived the second round with a driving bank shot at the buzzer by Derik Queen to beat Colorado State 72-71. The Terrapins are 16-4 in their last 20 games and are +3500 in the betting odds for March Madness ultimate success.
Maryland vs Florida Prediction Today, March 27
My prediction
Florida 80, Maryland 70
Both teams score more than 80 points per game, but we expect this important matchup to be a little tighter defensively. The Gators have been the best team in the nation, winning 14 of 15 since Feb. 2, and Maryland is just 19-16 ATS, per NCAAB betting trends.
Maryland vs Florida Betting Picks
My Top Picks
1. Maryland vs Florida ATS Pick: Florida -6 points
2. Maryland vs Florida O/U Pick: Bet under 157 ½ points
3. Maryland vs Florida Top Prop: Bet Florida’s Will Richard 3+ assists
My Analysis
Florida did not beat the spread in its first two NCAA Tournament games, but the Gators have the depth to turn the switch in the Sweet 16.
Clayton has scored 23 points in each of the first two games in the Big Dance and drained 9-of-17 from 3-point range. The senior has plenty of support and winning the loaded SEC tournament makes the Gators made March Madness experts pick to win it all.
I’ve watched this play at least 40 times.
The legend of Walter Clayton grows 🐊 pic.twitter.com/GY3MCYSFaY
— Florida Gators 🐊🔥 (@gatorsszn) March 24, 2025
The Terrapins can play with Florida when they are at their best form. Maryland has five players averaging at least 12 points, led by Queen (16.2). Rodney Rice, who scored 16 versus Colorado State, may be the key with his 3-point shooting prowess.
DERIK QUEEN FTW 😱
OH MY GOODNESS 🤯#MarchMadness pic.twitter.com/06QRH6eK3R
— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessMBB) March 24, 2025
Florida is among our March Madness expert picks for Thursday because it has just been a more consistent team this season. Experienced players like Alijah Martin and Will Richard, who should have many chances to set up Clayton, put the Gators over the top.
Maryland vs Florida March Madness Best Point-Scorer Prop
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Alijah Martin 15+ points (+100)
Alijah Martin has so much experience in big games. Thursday will be his ninth NCAA Tournament contest.
The senior transfer averaged 15.2 points and shot 39.3 percent from 3-point range for Florida Atlantic two years ago in the Big Dance and is 12-for-22 from the field while averaging 17.5 points in the first two this season.
With Maryland sagging on Clayton and keeping an eye on Richard, Martin should get his chances and cash this player prop bet. That makes him a great addition to our March Madness picks.
Bet on Alijah Martin 15+ points (+100)
Maryland vs Florida How to Watch
- Game: Maryland Terrapins (27-8) vs Florida Gators (32-4)
- Date/Time: Thursday, March 27, 7:39 p.m. ET,
- Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, Calif.
- Terrapins vs Gators Live Stream: Fubo.tv
Get updated Maryland vs Florida stats here.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets