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Miami Solid Pick to Cover vs Kentucky

The experience of a Miami team coming off a run to the Final Four will be matched up against one of the best freshman classes in the country when Kentucky welcomes the Hurricanes to Rupp Arena in the ACC/SEC Challenge. The college basketball betting lines favor the host Wildcats. That is hardly a surprise considering that Kentucky has been listed as an underdog at home just twice in the last 10 seasons.

This will be the first time that Miami and Kentucky will meet since 2008, when Miami won 73-67 as a two-point underdog. Kentucky had won the previous three games between the teams.

Miami Solid Pick to Cover vs Kentucky
Miami Solid Pick to Cover vs Kentucky

Miami was 10-6 in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge while Kentucky was 5-4 in the SEC/Big 12 Challenge. Both of those events ended after last season with this being the first year of the ACC/SEC Challenge.

The college basketball odds have Kentucky listed as the seven-point favorite.

Forwards Aaron Bradshaw, Zvonimir Ivisic and Ugonna Onyeso are all out for Kentucky as is guard Grant Darbyshire. Only Darbyshire has appeared in a game for Kentucky this season.

Clemson joins Miami as the only undefeated team in the ACC while Kentucky is off to a 5-1 start, the lone loss to then-No. 1 Kansas.

Miami was tied with North Carolina for the second-best odds to win the ACC coming into the season while Kentucky trailed only Tennessee in the odds to win the SEC.

Miami moved up two spots to No. 8 in the latest Associated Press poll and went from 11th to eighth in the coaches poll. Kentucky is 12th in both national polls.

When looking at the college basketball futures odds, Kentucky (+1600) is sixth in the odds of winning the national championship while Miami is tied for 17th at +3500 in the championship odds.

Perfect Start for Miami

Even with the top two scorers Isaiah Wong and Jordan Miller embarking on professional careers, Miami is off to an impressive start.

The addition of former Florida State forward Matthew Cleveland, who is second on the Hurricanes in scoring, has helped. So has the emergence of Wooga Poplar, who has gone from averaging 8.4 points and connecting on 37.4% of his 3-pointers to averaging a team-leading 18 points and shooting 59.4% from 3-point range.

Nijel Pack, leading rebounder Norchad Omier and Bensley Joseph are all back after helping Miami make an impressive postseason run a season ago.

If there is a concern, it is a lack of depth as only two non-starters play more than 10 minutes per game.

Miami has covered against the college basketball point spreads in eight of its last 10 games as well as in six of its last seven road games.

Kentucky: ATS Struggles vs ACC Teams

It wouldn’t be a John Calipiari-coached team without some high-profile freshmen on the team.

Even with top recruit Aaron Bradshaw yet to play this season, four of the top six scorers for the Wildcats are freshmen. Keep that in mind when looking at the NCAA expert picks.

Rob Dillingham has scored in double figures in every game and is averaging 16 points on 54.7% shooting. He is a triple-double threat each time he steps onto the court.

D.J. Wagner is putting up 14.5 points per game and Kentucky native Reed Sheppard averages 10.8 points and is 14 of 21 from 3-point range. Justin Edwards is contributing 10 points

and 4.3 rebounds.

With West Virginia transfer Tre Mitchell the No. 2 scorer, it is an almost brand new cast of characters for Kentucky.

Kentucky is only 2-6 against the college basketball odds in its last eight games against ACC opponents.

Kentucky Could Win But Go With Miami To Cover

This is a tough game to call since these teams play so infrequently. Kentucky does look like a work in progress with so many freshmen in key roles. However, this is nothing new for Calipari, who more than any college coach has embraced the one-and-done rule that requires players to be a year removed from high school before being eligible for the NBA Draft. That is something to consider when making NCAA picks today.

Kentucky playing at home could be enough to give the Wildcats the win, but don’t be surprised to see a veteran Miami team hang around in this matchup and cover as the seven-point underdogs.

Neither of these teams have played a true road game this season so it will be worth watching to see how Miami reacts at a tough place to play. This is also the first time this season that Miami is listed by the Las Vegas odds as the underdog. Kentucky is 5-0 outright this season as the favorite and also 5-0 at home.

Although eight of the 11 games played by the Hurricanes and Wildcats have finished over the total, many of those who bet online have been rolling with this game going under the 165-point total.

The total has gone over in four of the last five games played by both Kentucky and Miami.

College Basketball Pick: Miami Hurricanes +7



Miami vs Kentucky Betting Lines


Miami vs Kentucky Game Information

  • Game: Miami (5-0) vs Kentucky (5-1)
  • Location: Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY
  • Date/Time: Tuesday, Nov. 28, 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Miami vs Kentucky Live Stream: TBS.com


Questions Of The Day

Is there any injury update that could affect the spread in the Miami vs Kentucky game?

Kentucky continues to be without multiple players, including 7-foot freshman Aaron Bradshaw. Grant Darbyshire is also out for Kentucky.

Will Miami cover the spread against the Kentucky Wildcats?

Miami is looking like a solid bet to cover as 7-point underdogs against Kentucky.

The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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