Miami to Cover as Road ’Dog vs Virginia
Miami is looking to win consecutive games against Virginia for the first time since 2011. It won’t be easy with Virginia on a six-game winning streak. Virginia heads into a matchup with rival Miami listed by the NCAA basketball picks as the favorite.
This is the ninth straight time that Virginia is favored at home against Miami. Just one of the previous eight matchups landed over the total with each team covering four times.
The NCAA basketball lines have Virginia favored by six points.
Miami came into the season priced at +4000 in the odds of winning March Madness followed by Virginia at +6000. Both the Hurricanes and Cavaliers are at +10000 in the odds of winning the NCAAM title. Virginia is 42nd and Miami is 62nd in the current NCAA NET rankings so both teams have some work to do just to get into the NCAA tournament.
Keep on reading for more on the matchup between Miami and Virginia.
Miami vs Virginia Game Information
1.Game: Miami 15-7 (6-5 ACC) vs Virginia 17-5 (8-3 ACC)
2. Date/Time: Monday, Feb. 5, 7 p.m. ET
3. Location: John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
4. Miami vs Virginia Live Stream: TBS.com
Virginia is 12-0 at home as the Cavaliers join North Carolina and Wake Forest as the only ACC teams still perfect at home. Miami is just 2-4 on the road.
The Cavaliers have been favored in every home game this season. They are 8-3-1 against the spread in those games.
𝗚𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝟮𝟯 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄
🆚 Miami
📆 Feb. 5
🕖 7 p.m.
📍 @JPJArena
🎟️ https://t.co/vuDj8QRMh6
🔶⚔️🔷 #GoHoos https://t.co/dgF0fVJy7U— Virginia Men’s Basketball (@UVAMensHoops) February 4, 2024
Six of the last 10 games between Miami and Virginia have been decided by six points or less, with each of the last two matchups finishing as three-game games.
The NCAA basketball lines have Virginia priced at -250 to win this game outright with Miami at +205 on the Moneyline.
Miami vs Virginia Odds and Spreads
Miami vs Virginia Betting Trends
1.Six of the last eight games between Miami and Virginia went under the total.
2.The Hurricanes have covered against the Las Vegas odds in four of the last six matchups with Virginia.
3.Virginia is 16-2 as a favorite this season.
4.Just four of Virginia’s 12 home games landed over the total.
5.The total went under in 13 of Virginia’s last 20 games.
6.Miami has covered in four of its last five games.
7.The total has gone under in six of Miami’s last eight games and in six of the last eight matchups versus ACC teams.
8.Virginia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six games.
Miami vs Virginia ATS Pick: Miami +6
Virginia has won the last three home games against Miami by an average of 11.3 points per game. However, against the top teams in the ACC, the Cavaliers have struggled to put their opponents away.
Miami has not been a great road team this season but the Hurricanes have enough talent to expect the Hurricanes to hang around against the favored Cavaliers.
Miami vs Virginia Over/Under Pick: Over 132½
Virginia would be just fine winning games 33-31 while Miami prefers to get out in transition and push the pace.
The Pomeroy college basketball database has the adjusted tempo for Virginia in this game set at No. 361 among Division I teams compared to Miami coming at 82nd, so this will come down to which team gets to play at its pace. Keep that in mind when making best college basketball bets today.
Nine straight Virginia home games against Miami would have landed under the 132.5 total but don’t be surprised to see this streak come to an end.
Miami vs Virginia Player Prop Pick: Norchad Omier to have 14+ Points (-124)
Miami put up 82 points last time out despite leading scorer Norchad Omier attempting just seven shots. Miami had lost its last three games when Omier was held under 10 field-goal attempts.
Expect Miami to get its junior forward involved early in this matchup after he had only 10 points on 3-of-8 shooting the last time he faced the Cavaliers.
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Miami vs Virginia Prediction
Questions Of The Day
Who won the last meeting between Miami and Virginia?
Miami won 66-64 as a 3½-point underdog at home on Dec. 20, 2022. The game fell just under the 131½-point total as both teams shot under 40% from the field and were a combined 13-for-45 from 3-point range.
Which team has the best record against the spread this season in the Miami-Virginia matchup?
Miami is tied with Pittsburgh for the second-best mark against the spread of 12-8-2 among ACC teams with Virginia close behind at 12-9-1. Virginia is second in the ACC by covering ATS in eight of its home games while Miami is 3-2-1 against the spread on the road.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
