Morehead State Best Bet vs Little Rock in OVC Final

LIttle Rock enters on a 10-game winning streak, including a 25-point semifinal win over Western Illinois on Friday, while Morehead State has won five in a row, including a pair of games in this tournament. These teams matched up once in the regular season, with the Trojans coming out on top by one at home in mid-February.

Morehead State vs Little Rock Game Information

1. Game: Morehead State (25-8, 14-4 OVC) vs Little Rock (21-11, 14-4)
2. Date/Time: Saturday, March 9, 8 p.m. ET
3. Location: Ford Center, Evansville, Ind.
4. Morehead State vs Little Rock Live Stream: TBS.com

Morehead State advanced to the tournament title game by topping No. 6 seed SIU-Edwardsville and No. 2 seed UT Martin over the last two days and is seeking its first OVC crown since 2021.

Little Rock has a shot at its first OVC tournament title in its second season in the conference. Morehead State is thought to be one of the best college basketball bets Saturday, as it is favored by 4 points despite their lower seed. The over/under for this clash is set at 137 points in what should be a defensive struggle.

Morehead State vs Little Rock Odds and Spreads

Morehead State vs Little Rock Betting Trends

1. Little Rock is 6-2 ATS in its last eight contests.
2. The under is 3-0 in Morehead State’s last three games.
3. The Eagles are undefeated ATS over their last three contests.
4. Both Little Rock and Morehead State have 19 wins ATS this season.
5. The Eagles are 22-4 this season when giving up 78 points or fewer.
6. Little Rock is 15-4 ATS when holding opponents to 75.7 points or less.
7. Morehead State is just 3-6-1 ATS over its last 10 games.
8. The first meeting between these teams this season hit the under.

Morehead State vs Little Rock Over/Under Pick: Over 137 (-110)

Both teams can light up the scoreboard when they’re on their games, with Little Rock scoring 78.1 points per game and Morehead State 75.7. The Eagles have the superior defense, allowing 63 points per game. In a game that will send one of these squads to the Big Dance, we like offense to rule the day.

The first matchup between these teams finished at exactly 137 points (a 69-68 Little Rock win), so a hoop from one team or the other would have put that score above this over/under. This should be a wild game with both teams playing intensely on both ends of the floor, so when making your NCAAB picks, go with the over.

Morehead State vs Little Rock ATS Pick: Morehead State -4 (-110)

The NCAA basketball lines are giving the Eagles the edge here despite Little Rock being on a 10-game winning streak. Morehead State guard Riley Minix has been outstanding, averaging 20.6 points and 9.9 rebounds while shooting 54.3% from the floor. The senior will be motivated in his last shot at an OVC tournament title, so look for him to have a big game scoring the ball.

Little Rock is no slouch, led by its own senior, guard KK Robinson, who is averaging 15.8 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest. The Trojans must be able to solve the tough Eagles defense, which means Robinson must be making solid decisions both in the halfcourt and on the break when he’s handling the ball.

Morehead State vs Little Rock Team Prop Pick: First Half Over 70½

Both teams can score, and we anticipate the first half to be the more proficient for these offenses, with players running on great adrenaline as they fight to make it to the NCAA Tournament. Conference tournaments mean multiple games over a short period, and with so much on the line, fatigue and pressure will start to weigh on the teams in the second half a little more.

This will be a back-and-forth game throughout, but when you’re looking for the best college basketball spreads to bet on this contest, taking the over for the first 20 minutes is the way to go.

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Morehead State vs Little Rock Prediction

Morehead State 77, Little Rock 71

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