NC State vs North Carolina Prediction, Picks and Odds: Bet on NC State +10 for Feb 19

It’s Round 2 of this classic Tobacco Road rivalry, and the Tar Heels are double-digit NCAAB betting favorites at home. But don’t let the records fool you—NC State always gets up for this one. The Wolfpack are coming off a much-needed win after an absolute horror stretch, while UNC is fighting for seeding in the big dance.

Proud owner of Tobacco Road pic.twitter.com/zgNUJ9fMaW

— Will (@WillTalksBall) February 11, 2025

The Heels might have the better resume, but they haven’t exactly been an ATS goldmine lately (0-6 ATS in their last six). Meanwhile, NC State has historically covered well against UNC, keeping it within the number in four of the previous five matchups. That includes a 63-61 loss in January as +4.5 underdogs.

With a bloated spread and trends leaning toward the Under, let’s break down the best college basketball picks for Wednesday’s clash.

NC State vs North Carolina How to Watch

• Game: NC State (10-15, 3-11 ACC) vs North Carolina (15-11, 8-6 ACC)
• Date/Time: Wednesday, Feb. 17, 7:00 p.m. ET
• Location: Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC
• NC State vs North Carolina Live Stream: Fubo.tv

Get updated NC State vs North Carolina injuries here.

Top 2 NC State vs North Carolina Spread and Over/Under Picks

1. NC State ATS +10

Look, NC State isn’t exactly lighting the world on fire. They’re 3-11 in ACC play, dead last in offensive efficiency in conference action, and they haven’t won a road game all season. It’s bad. Like, “We might not make the ACC Tournament” bad.

But this is a rivalry game, and the Wolfpack usually show up for it. They only lost by two to UNC earlier this season despite shooting an abysmal 15.8% from three. Even with their offensive struggles, they managed to hang with the Heels.

Plus, UNC isn’t exactly running teams out of the gym. The Tar Heels have failed to cover in six straight games and have been playing down to their competition. They’ve also been winning ugly, averaging just 67.5 PPG over their last four.

NC State’s defense has been scrappy, and if their shooters (who are capable of much more than last game’s brick fest) can hit a few from deep, they can keep this respectable. This spread is a lot of points for a rivalry game, and UNC hasn’t shown the killer instinct to justify this big of a gap in the NCAAB odds.

Bet on NC State +10 (-115)

2. Bet NC State vs North Carolina Under 147

Both teams have been Under machines, and we’re not about to argue with the data. Here is the latest college basketball news on that front.

• The Under has hit in 9 of UNC’s last 13 games.
• The Under has cashed in 8 of NC State’s last 12.
• When these two teams met earlier, the game ended with a 63-61 score—well below the 151.5 total.

UNC’s offense has been underwhelming lately, and NC State isn’t built to push the pace. The Pack rank 297th in effective field goal percentage and have barely cracked 70 in most of their ACC games. That’s… not ideal for an Over.

Meanwhile, UNC’s defense has been their calling card, ranking 4th in the ACC in opponent FG% and 3rd in blocked shots. They’ll make life tough on an already-struggling NC State offense.

Even if UNC goes off, it’s hard to see NC State keeping up enough to push this Over. Rivalry games tend to get sloppy, and if the Pack can turn this into a grind, we should see another Under.

Bet on NC State vs North Carolina Under 147

More College Basketball Picks and Best Bets For February 19

• Alabama vs Missouri Prediction, Picks and Odds: Over 170 Best Bet on February 19
• Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction, Picks and Odds: Bet Vanderbilt +6 on Feb 19

Question of the Day

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets