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NCAAB Picks: Boilermakers Strong ATS Play Against Spartans

The Purdue Boilermakers (25-3) look to continue a red-hot run of play at home against the Michigan State Spartans (17-11) on Saturday, March 2. The game tips off at 8 p.m. ET and will be played at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana. Purdue is a 10½-point favorit and the over/under is set at 145.


NCAAB Picks: Boilermakers Strong ATS Play Against Spartans
NCAAB Picks: Boilermakers Strong ATS Play Against Spartans

Michigan State vs Purdue Game Information

  1. Game: Michigan State (17-11, 9-8) vs Purdue (25-3, 14-3)
  2. Date/Time: March 2, 8 p.m. ET
  3. Location: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, Indiana
  4. Michigan State vs Purdue Live Stream: TBS.com

Purdue’s three losses came on the road, and this team has been a forcer. The Boilermakers wil look to continue that run against a Michigan State team that’s jockeying for position in the Big Ten. While Michigan State has been a solid college basketball bet, especially when needing to keep a game in single digits to cover the spread, facing the nation’s No. 2 team is a different story.

We broke down why the Boilermakers are a solid bet and also why this spot aligns for a potential over college basketball pick, even between two solid defensive teams.

Michigan State vs Purdue Odds and Spread

Michigan State Spartans: +10½ (-110)

Purdue Boilermakers: -10½ (-110)

Over/under: 145

  1. Purdue is 2-3 ATS in its last five games
  2. The over is 3-2 in Purdue’s last five games
  3. Michigan State is 3-2 ATS in its last five games
  4. The over is 2-3 in Michigan State’s last five games
  5. Purdue is 9-6 ATS at home this season
  6. Michigan State is 3-6-1 ATS on the road this year
  7. The over is 11-4 in Purdue’s home games this year
  8. The over is 17-9 when Purdue is favored this year
  9. Michigan State is 2-3-1 ATS as an underdog on the season

Michigan State vs Purdue Over 145 (-110)

Purdue has thrived at home. They’ve hit the over in 11 of their 15 home games and are in a great position to do so again against a Michigan State team that’s given up high point totals to some of its stronger opponents. This includes an 88-80 loss recently against Illinois. Even though on paper, Michigan State is solid defensively, I think this spot should bode well for Purdue and I’m taking the over 145.

Purdue vs Michigan State ATS: Boilermakers -10½ (-110)

In most cases, Michigan State has been close in its losses, specifically falling by single digits. But a few noteworthy spots included losses to Top-25 teams such as Wisconsin and Illinois, on the road. Both of those losses came by double digits, and Purdue is more than talented enough to follow suit on its home floor. The Boilermakers are a solid bet here and have performed well as the favorite, so I’m leaning on them to cover -10½ against a decent Spartans group as they look to solidify a spot as one of the NCAA tournament’s No. 1 seeds in the coming weeks.

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Michigan State vs Purdue Prediction

Purdue Boilermakers 89, Michigan State Spartans 74



Questions of the Day

Which player is most likely to record a double-double between Michigan State and Purdue?

Purdue star Zach Edey has failed to post a double-double in one of his previous 12 games. This is a great spot for another big performance from him, fresh off a 35-point game against Michigan.

Which team boasts the better defense between Michigan State and Purdue?

Both Michigan State and Purdue have been strong defensive teams. Purdue checks in at 70.1, while the Spartans allow 66 points per game. This is a tough spot for the road team.

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