Virginia Tough to Beat at Home
When the season began, North Carolina figured to be the higher-ranked team in this matchup. However, some inconsistent play, especially on defense, has led to the Tar Heels plummeting in the national polls.
North Carolina forward Pete Nance is questionable with a back injury that resulted in him missing the last game against Notre Dame. Will Shaver (foot) is out.
North Carolina is in the top 25 nationally with 81.4 points per game and is one of the top 20 rebounding teams in the country.
Virginia is annually among the leaders in scoring defense and this season is no different with the Cavaliers allowing 59.6 points per game.
Virginia is 7-1 at home while North Carolina has dropped all three of its true road games.
Virginia is 12th in the coaches poll and 13th in the Associated Press Top 25 poll. North Carolina began the season ranked first in both national polls but is now among other teams receiving votes.
According to the college basketball odds, North Carolina and Virginia are tied for 11th in the odds to win the national title.
Let’s check the latest college basketball odds, stats, injury reports and college basketball lines for North Carolina vs Virginia. We’ve plenty of NCAA basketball odds for you to consider.
Bacot Lighting It Up
Things have been a little bumpier than expected for a North Carolina team that returned four starters from a team that played in the national championship game. National player of the year candidate Armando Bacot is doing what he can to get the Tar Heels headed in the right direction.
Bacot has five straight 20-point games and has shot better than 50% from the field in seven games in a row, with North Carolina going 6-1 in those contests.
The last time Bacot faced Virginia in the regular season, Bacot erupted for 29 points and 22 rebounds in a 16-point victory. He also had a double-double in the matchup in the ACC tournament.
Bacot Named ACC Player Of The Week Againhttps://t.co/OCOoNnIBtM
— Carolina Basketball (@UNC_Basketball) January 9, 2023
The Las Vegas odds total has gone over in each of North Carolina’s last six games.
Piling Up Assists
Now in his fifth season at Virginia, Kihei Clark is playing like the veteran that he is.
Clark has 37 assists and 13 turnovers over the last four games, with the Cavaliers winning three of those contests.
Those assist numbers are even more impressive considering the methodical matter in which Virginia plays. Content to play games in the 50s and 60s, there are fewer chances to add to the assist totals.
Clark is also the top scorer for the Cavaliers even though his production has been a little inconsistent. He had 22 points on 4-of-18 shooting in back-to-back losses to nationally ranked Houston and Miami. He followed that up by scoring in double figures in three of the next four games before matching his season low with five points the last time out against Syracuse.
Virginia has covered against the college basketball betting lines in just one of its last eight contests.
North Carolina vs Virginia Miss Game Injuries
North Carolina vs Virginia Head-to-Head
North Carolina has won the last two meetings with an average margin of victory of 18 points. Virginia had won the previous seven matchups.
Virginia has won eight games in a row against the Tar Heels in Charlottesville. North Carolina’s last win at Virginia came in 2012.
Each of the last three meetings and five of the last six finished under the total.
North Carolina vs Virginia Game Information
- Game: North Carolina (11-5, 3-2 ACC) vs Virginia (11-3, 3-2 ACC)
- Location: John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
- Day/Time: Tuesday, Jan. 10, 9:00 p.m. ET
- North Carolina vs Virginia Live Stream: TBS.com
North Carolina vs Virginia Betting Lines
North Carolina vs Virginia Picks & Prediction
This game will be all about tempo with North Carolina trying to push the pace while Virginia will try to limit the number of possessions.
North Carolina shot 47.7% from the field while putting up 81 points on Notre Dame the last time out and will look to remain undefeated in 2023.
The Tar Heels are 0-2 when listed as an underdog while Virginia is 9-2 as the favorite.
The teams are a combined 9-21 against the spread. The Tar Heels haven’t covered in their first three road games while Virginia is just 1-7 against the college basketball odds at home.
North Carolina is listed at +165 in our Las Vegas college basketball lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Tar Heels, you have a chance to win $165. Virginia is -195, offering a chance to win $51 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives North Carolina a 37.74% chance to win, with Virginia at 66.10%.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.