Oregon ATS Pick on Road vs Colorado

· Jan 18 - 5 minutes read

As a surprise to most people, Oregon (13-3, 5-0) is undefeated through the first five games of Pac-12 play, sitting on top of the conference. Colorado (12-5, 3-3) will host Oregon and try to hand the Ducks their first loss in conference play, which could make this game interesting for best college basketball bets.

The Ducks remained undefeated in the Pac-12, beating California 80-74 in a game in which they were once behind by 18 points. Similarly, the Buffaloes were down at halftime against USC before rallying with a big second half to win 68-58.

Oregon vs Colorado Game Information

Game: Oregon (13-3) vs Colorado (12-5)
Location: CU Events Center, Boulder, CO
Day/Time: Thursday, Jan.18, 10:30 p.m. ET
Oregon vs Colorado Live Stream: TBS.com

Not many NCAA basketball predictions had Oregon leading the Pac-12 five games into conference play, but here we are. Colorado will get its chance to hand Oregon its first conference loss, having picked up a win in the last game.

Oregon vs Colorado Odds and Spreads

Betting Odds Calculator

Oregon vs Colorado Betting Trends

Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5.
Ducks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Buffaloes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5.
Buffaloes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Buffaloes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Buffaloes last 6 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater.
Over is 6-0 in Buffaloes last 6 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater.

ATS Pick: Oregon +6

Oregon has consistently found a way to win during Pac-12 play, and after a 4-2 start to the season, it has gone 9-1 over the last 10 games. The Ducks are a team with some momentum, and it is hard not to take them to cover college basketball spreads, especially as underdogs.

Against the spread, the Ducks have been great this season. Part of that could be because they were underdogs in two of their Pac-12 wins, facing Washington and Washington State on the road. On top of that, the Ducks are undefeated in their three road games.

However, this does not mean that Oregon will win this game. Despite being 3-3 in the Pac-12, Colorado has played great, especially at home, going 10-0. Still, even with that, the Buffaloes have slipped slightly recently in college basketball lines.

Before beating USC, Colorado had lost three straight. That was followed by the Buffaloes being down 37-24 to an injury-riddled USC team at halftime. The Buffaloes did turn it around, but it was still concerning.

Over/Under Pick: Over 146

While neither team has been consistently hitting the over recently, it seems like a great option for college basketball picks. Both programs have hit the over in five of their last 10 games and feature solid offenses with shaky defenses.

In the Pac-12, Colorado averages the fourth-most points per game (80.2) while Oregon is sixth (78.8). Defensively, both schools are middle of the pack, ranked sixth and seventh, allowing just over 71 points per game.

KJ Simpson ➡️ Wooden Award Midseason Top 25 Watch List 👀#GoBuffs pic.twitter.com/ve7GRCusFs

— Colorado Men’s Basketball (@CUBuffsMBB) January 10, 2024

However, the main difference is how the points are scored. The Ducks have two players leading the way in conference play: Jackson Shelstad and Jermaine Couisnard are averaging over 15 points. While the Buffaloes also have two players over 15 points per game in KJ Simpson and Tristan Da Silva, Simpson is the clear leader at 19.3 points per game this season.

Player Prop Pick: KJ Simpson Over 16.5 Points (-115)

In the win over USC, Simpson struggled with only nine points compared to averaging 19.3 on the season and 18.2 in conference play. In three of his last four games, Simpson has scored under his average. He should cover this prop against Oregon, with Colorado winning at home, plus getting an extra boost with home-court advantage.

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