Oregon State Solid Pick to Cover ATS vs Undefeated Gamecocks
Undefeated South Carolina was pushed to the brink by Indiana in the regional semifinals while Oregon State upset No. 2 seed Notre Dame.
South Carolina has won two of the three previous matchups with the Gamecocks winning 78-69 in the 2014 NCAA tournament and 59-42 in the 2021 NCAA tournament. Oregon State’s lone win game in a neutral-site game in Vancouver, British Columbia, in 2018. Keep that in mind when looking at the NCAAW best bets.
The NCAAW betting lines list the Gamecocks as 16-point favorite to top Oregon State to reach the Final Four for the fourth season in a row.
When looking at NCAAW futures odds, South Carolina is favored at -180 in the odds to win the national title. Oregon State is priced at +6500 in the odds of winning March Madness.
Game Information
- Game: Oregon State (27-7) vs South Carolina (35-0)
- Date/Time: Sunday, March 31, 1 p.m. ET
- Location: MVP Arena, Albany, NY
- Oregon State vs South Carolina Live Stream: TBS.com
Four of South Carolina’s last seven games have been decided by single digits. While the Gamecocks won each of those games to move three wins away from an undefeated season, the Gamecocks have struggled to cover against the college basketball spread in March.
“We’ve been saying ‘play every game like it’s South Carolina.’ That’s the team to beat right now.”
Oregon State’s Raegan Beers says her team knows it’s the obvious underdog entering the Elite 8. They’ve been preparing for a game like this all year: pic.twitter.com/52vmvXVeBI
— Julia Westerman (@JuliaWesterman) March 30, 2024
The Beavers and Gamecocks meet on Sunday, March 31, at MVP Arena in Albany. You can watch the game on ABC at 1 p.m. ET.
Oregon State vs South Carolina Odds and Spreads
Betting Trends
- Four of South Carolina’s six postseason games finished over the total
- Three of Oregon State’s last four games went under the total.
- The Beavers are 4-1 against the Las Vegas odds in their last five games.
- South Carolina has covered in just one of its last six games
- Oregon State is 1-1 in regional finals.
- Oregon State is 4-9 in its last 13 games against SEC teams.
- South Carolina is 4-1 in its last five Elite Eight games.
Over/Under Pick: Under 135
After allowing a total of 80 points in the first two games in the NCAA tournament, South Carolina allowed 75 to Indiana. Look for the Gamecocks to look like one of the best defensive teams in the country in this matchup when considering the NCAAW over/under predictions.
Oregon State relies on sophomore post player Raegan Beers to score in the lane. She has shot over 70% in the first three NCAA tournament games. South Carolina’s 6-foot-7 Kamilla Cardoso could make things difficult for the Oregon State star.
ATS Pick: Oregon State +16
After nearly squandering a 22-point lead against Indiana, South Carolina had to know it could easily have seen its dreams of an undefeated season end against the Hoosiers. Look for the Gamecocks to learn from their mistakes but the 16-point spread seems a bit high when facing an Oregon State team that played 13 games against ranked teams.
Oregon State faced a Top-10 team 11 times this season and never lost by at least 14 points so while the Gamecocks are a solid pick to win the game, Oregon State could cover in the Elite Eight matchup.
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Score Prediction
South Carolina 71, Oregon State 61
Questions of the Day
How have Oregon State and South Carolina fared in the most recent regional final?
South Carolina topped Maryland 86-75 in the 2023 Greenville Regional 1 Final while Oregon State fell to Louisville 76-43 in 2018.
What were the odds of winning the national title for Oregon State and South Carolina heading into the 2023-24 season?
South Carolina was tied for fourth at +1000 in the championship odds when the season began. Oregon State wasn’t among the top 32 teams in the title odds at the start of the 2023-24 campaign.