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Saint Mary’s ATS Choice vs San Francisco
Saint Mary’s is about to end Gonzaga’s stranglehold on the West Coast Conference with a two-game lead and four games left to play. The Gaels are favored at home yet again to top the Dons according to the NCAAB expert picks.
Saint Mary’s has won nine games in a row against San Francisco after its 17-point victory last month. San Francisco did cover the last time it played at Saint Mary’s after the Gaels covered in the previous eight home games USF. The Gaels are listed by the college basketball spread as a 7½-point favorite.
Saint Mary’s is 14th in the NCAA NET rankings despite two Quad 2 losses and two Quad 3 losses. San Francisco is 0-5 in Quad 1 games and 61st in the NCAA NET rankings.
Saint Mary’s remained at No. 18 in the Associated Press poll and moved from 19th to 18th in the USA Today coaches poll.
Saint Mary’s began the season at +5000 in the odds to win March Madness. The odds of winning the national title have moved to +7000.
Keep on reading for more on the matchup between San Francisco and Saint Mary’s.
San Francisco vs Saint Mary’s Game Information
- Game: San Francisco (21-6, 10-6 WCC) at Saint Mary’s (21-6, 12-0)
- Date/Time: Tuesday, Feb. 20, 11 p.m. ET
- Location: University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA
- San Francisco vs Saint Mary’s Live Stream: TBS.com
The Gaels are 12-3 at home this season as Saint Mary’s has been favored in all but one game at home. San Francisco is 6-3 on the road but 0-3 as a road underdog.
We have a humongous one at the top of the WCC tonight when San Francisco visits #18 Saint Mary’s.
Still undefeated in league play, the Gaels can clinch the regular season title as early as Saturday.
Dons win, it goes a long way towards a bye to the conference semifinals.
11 ET pic.twitter.com/503IoeBqNo
— Mid-Major Madness (@mid_madness) February 20, 2024
Saint Mary’s is just 8-6 against the spread as a home favorite. San Francisco has covered in two of its three games as the road underdog.
The college basketball lines have Saint Mary’s priced at -330 to win the game outright with the Dons at +270 on the moneyline.
San Francisco vs Saint Mary’s Odds and Spreads
San Francisco vs Saint Mary’s Betting Trends
- Saint Mary’s has covered in eight of the last nine meetings with San Francisco.
- San Francisco is 0-5 as an underdog his season.
- Saint Mary’s is 17-6 when listed as the favorite.
- The Gaels have covered in eight of their 14 home games.
- Six of San Francisco’s nine road games went under the total.
- Saint Mary’s has covered against the Las Vegas odds in eight of its last 10 games.
- San Francisco is 1-5 against the spread in its last six games.
- The total has gone over in 11 of San Francisco’s last 15 games.
San Francisco vs Saint Mary’s ATS Pick: Saint Mary’s -7 (-110)
Saint Mary’s had a stretch with three straight home games versus USF had the Gaels as a double-digit favorite. However, this is the fourth time in the last five meetings that the visiting Dons are single-digit underdogs.
Saint Mary’s is taking a 13-game winning streak into this matchup while San Francisco has won six games in a row.
With the way the Gaels took care of business last month against USF, it is hard to pick against Saint Mary’s in the rematch.
San Francisco will be without forward Isaiah Hawthorne. Joshua Jefferson, who is second in rebounding and fourth in scoring for Saint Mary’s, is also expected to miss the game.
San Francisco vs Saint Mary’s Over/Under Pick: Under 133
Five of the last six times that Saint Mary’s squared off against San Francisco, the game landed over the total. There is another pretty reasonable total of 133 for this match.
It is hard to overlook the fact that Saint Mary’s is eighth in defensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy college basketball ratings. However, the Gaels just put up 103 points in its last game. The Dons allowed 77 points in each of its two conference losses and that is enough to go with this game to land over the total when looking at the best college basketball bets today.
San Francisco vs Saint Mary’s Player Prop Pick: Aidan Mahaney to Score 15+ Points (-107)
Mahaney has certainly enjoyed playing against San Francisco in his first two seasons at Saint Mary’s. He had 22 points and five 3-pointers in the first game of the season between the teams and is averaging 20 points in three career matchups against the Dons.
San Francisco vs Saint Mary’s Prediction
Saint Mary’s 76, San Francisco 67
Questions Of The Day
How has San Francisco fared against the spread on the road against Saint Mary's?
When San Francisco covered as the 11½-point underdog in its last trip to Saint Mary’s, it was the first time that happened on the road against the Gaels since 2013.
Which team has a better record against the spread coming into the San Francisco-Saint Mary's game on Tuesday night?
San Francisco is 15-11 against the spread this season and that is second to Santa Clara among WCC teams. Saint Mary’s isn’t far behind at 14-12 as the Gaels are the only other WCC team with a winning ATS mark.
