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Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Gaels, Bulldogs Meet in WCC Title Game Yet Again

Outcome to Impact March Madness Seeds

The bubble teams from the Power 5 conferences rejoiced as Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga overcame challenges to win in the semifinals of the West Coast Conference tournament, so only the Gaels and Bulldogs will receive March Madness bids from the WCC.

This is the fifth time in the last seven seasons that Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga will meet in the WCC championship game. Overall, Gonzaga is 9-3 against Saint Mary’s in the conference championship game.

Ben Gregg #33 of the Gonzaga Bulldogs reacts after hitting a 3-pointer
Ben Gregg #33 of the Gonzaga Bulldogs reacts after hitting a 3-pointer - Ethan Miller/Getty Images/afp

When it comes to the college basketball news, both teams are in good shape from the injury department. Harvard transfer Mason Forbs and reserve center Matt Van Komen continues to be sidelined for Saint Mary’s. They have yet to play this season. Kaden Perry and Joe Few are out for Gonzaga. Both played fewer than seven minutes per game a season ago.

Gonzaga moved up two spots to No. 9 in the Associated Press Top 25 poll. Saint Mary’s is 16th in the AP poll.

According to the odds to win March Madness, Gonzaga (+1800) is eight in the odds to win the national championship. Saint Mary’s (+3000) is tied for 12th in the championship odds.

Saint Mary’s is eighth and Gonzaga ninth in the latest NCAA NET rankings and both teams are in line for top-16 seeds when the March Madness bracket comes out.

Gregg Delivering for Bulldogs

When listing the offensive options for the top-scoring team in the nation, it usually takes a while to get to sophomore forward Ben Gregg.

However, Gregg has scored in double figures in three of his last four games. He had 12 points and led the Bulldogs with four 3-pointers in the win over San Francisco in the WCC semifinals.


Gonzaga made 11 3-pointers in the hard-earned win. Finding room on the perimeter might be a little more challenging against Saint Mary’s. The Bulldogs were 8 of 25 on 3-pointers in the two matchups with the Gaels during the regular season.

Gregg was 1 for 4 (all coming from 3-point range) in the two games against the Gaels this season.

Gonzaga has covered against the college basketball betting lines in eight of its last 10 games played in March.

Depth Tested

The first of the two WCC semifinals had a definite March Madness feel to it with 44 fouls called and 57 foul shots taken.

Saint Mary’s saw starters Kyle Bowen, Mitchell Saxen and Aidan Mahaney saddled with four fouls. The good news for the Gaels is that they built up a 17-point halftime lead so they were able to deal with the foul trouble when BYU made a run in the second half.

The Gaels shot 53% inside the 3-point line t0 take control of the game. When things got interesting after halftime, Alex Ducas took over with 14 of his 23 points coming in the second half.

Ducas had 24 points and four 3-pointers in the first two meetings with Gonzaga.

Saint Mary’s is 7-17-1 against the Las Vegas odds in its last 25 games against Gonzaga.

Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Game Injuries

Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Head-to-Head

After Gonzaga won seven straight games against the Gaels, the teams have split the last four meetings.

Both Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s won at home this season, with the Gaels winning in overtime on Feb. 4 and the Bulldogs earning a split of the regular-season series three weeks later with the 77-68 win.

Gonzaga has won nine of the last 10 meetings against Saint Mary’s in March.

Each of the last three games between the teams finished over the total so keep that in mind when making college basketball predictions.

Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Game Information

  • Game: Saint Mary’s (26-6, 14-9 WCC) vs Gonzaga (27-5, 14-2)
  • Location: Orleans Arena, Las Vegas
  • Day/Time: Tuesday, March 7, 9:00 p.m. ET
  • Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Live Stream: TBS.com

Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Betting Lines

Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Picks and Prediction

This is one of the most anticipated matchups among the conference tournaments. Gonzaga leads the nation in scoring offense and field goal percentage shooting while Saint Mary’s is sixth nationally in scoring defense. It will be a tough call for those making college basketball picks.

Gonzaga led at halftime by eight and 13 points in the two matchups. Saint Mary’s outscored the Bulldogs by 12 points in the second half in those games.

Don’t expect Gonzaga leading scorer Drew Timme to be limited to seven field goal attempts, as was the case in the semifinal win. He will be motivated to lead the Bulldogs to the WCC title in what is likely his last conference game

The Bulldogs are 25-3 when listed by the sportsbook as the favorite. Saint Mary’s is 1-2 as the underdog.

Gonzaga is 1-6 against the spread (ATS) in neutral-site games this season.

Saint Mary’s is listed at +125 in our Las Vegas college basketball lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Gaels, you have a chance to win $125. Gonzaga is -145, offering a chance to win $69 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Saint Mary’s a 44.44% chance to win, with Gonzaga at 59.18%.

Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Edge

Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Results

Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Game Summary

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