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SMU Strong ATS Pick vs North Texas
The SMU Mustangs look to jump a full game ahead of the North Texas Mean Green. The NCAAB lines for Thursday’s matchup feature SMU as 1½-point favorite. The over/under sits at 126. We’ll take a deep dive on why SMU looks like a great play, as is buying stock in the over.
SMU vs North Texas Game Information
1. Game: SMU (13-5, 4-1 American) vs North Texas (11-6, 4-1)
2. Date/Time: Jan. 25, 7 p.m. ET
3. Location: The Super Pit, Denton, Texas
4. SMU vs North Texas Live Stream: TBS.com
SMU finds itself a couple narrow losses to good teams away from being a Top 25 program. The Mustangs have faced four teams that are currently ranked, losing by three or fewer points twice and eight on a neutral court.
North Texas is unbeaten at home, but SMU will prove to be a true measuring stick. They haven’t played a tough schedule, but have taken care of business at the Super Pit, and their defense has been impactful even in defeat.
The NCAA schedule today features interesting matchups, but the home dominance and defensive upside of North Texas being tested by a well-rounded SMU team capable of putting up high-scoring totals should be a highlight.
SMU vs North Texas Odds and Spread
SMU vs North Texas Betting Trends
- North Texas team is 3-2 ATS in its last five games.
- The under has hit in four straight North Texas games.
- SMU is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games.
- SMU is 11-5-1 ATS this season.
- North Texas is 9-6 ATS this season.
- North Texas is 3-4 ATS when playing on the road.
- SMU is 8-3-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
- The under has hit in 11 of SMU’s 18 games this season.
- The over has hit in 6 of North Texas’ 17 games this season.
Take Over 126 When SMU Travels to Face North Texas
SMU is fresh off a victory against Tulsa in which they poured in 103 points. That’s not the norm for this group, which averages 76.3 points per game. They do allow a few more points per game than North Texas and the Mean Green defense has been great this year, making this one of the tougher NCAAB picks for Thursday’s action.
Ultimately, I think the teams get off to a bit of a slow start thanks to some strong defense, but SMU picks it up in the second half and North Texas keeps pace for much of the game. The total at 126 is more than attainable here, and SMU’s last three games had totals of 137 or higher, with all clearing the over. Make it four in a row.
Bet SMU -1½ at North Texas
While North Texas is 8-0 at home this season, they’ve yet to face an opponent as talented as this SMU group. And while the teams jockey for position atop an AAC conference that features five one-loss teams heading into Thursday, SMU has impressed in some tough matchups all year.
The Mustangs are 4-3 away from home this season, but their losses came by eight to No. 13 ranked Wisconsin, two against Arizona State and three points against No. 15 Memphis. While North Texas is a solid team, I’m buying stock in the Mustangs, who have proven capable of scoring in bunches and are a strong defensive group, allowing 62.4 points per game.
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SMU vs North Texas Prediction
SMU Mustangs 70, North Texas Mean Green 64
Questions Of The Day
Which team’s offense has a better chance to overcome the opponent’s strong defense between SMU and North Texas?
SMU has proven to be a higher-upside offensive team than North Texas, averaging nearly nine more points per game. The Mustangs scored 103 in their last game.
Who will be the leading scorer in the SMU-North Texas game?
North Texas guard Jason Edwards. He’s hit double-digits in 10 straight games, scoring 16 or more in seven of them.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
