SMU to Cover Spread vs Florida Atlantic
For the first time this season, Florida Atlantic (20-6, 10-3 AAC) has dropped out of the AP Top 25 as it prepares to host SMU (19-7, 10-3). Both teams are near the top of the American Athletic Conference, which should affect NCAAB expert picks.
The Mustangs have been one of the hottest teams in the conference, extending their winning streak to six games by beating Memphis 106-79. On the other hand, the Owls suffered a 90-86 loss to South Florida, which is now in sole possession of first place in the conference.

SMU vs Florida Atlantic Game Information
- Game: SMU (19-7, 10-3 AAC) vs Florida Atlantic (20-6, 10-3)
- Location: Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena, Boca Raton, FL
- Day/Time: Thursday, Feb. 22, 7:00 p.m. ET
- SMU vs Florida Atlantic Live Stream: TBS.com
Both teams in this matchup have the same record in conference play (10-3), which could make it challenging for NCAAB predictions. Also, both teams are hot, with SMU and Florida Atlantic having won eight games over the last 10.
SMU vs Florida Atlantic Odds and Spreads
SMU vs Florida Atlantic Score Prediction
SMU vs Florida Atlantic Betting Trends
- Owls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
- Owls are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater.
- Over is 6-0 in Mustangs last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Mustangs last 6 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5.
- Under is 5-0 in Owls last 5 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5.
- Over is 5-0 in Mustangs last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Mustangs last 5 games following an ATS win.
SMU vs Florida Atlantic ATS Pick: SMU +6
After Florida Atlantic made the Final Four last season and switched to the American Athletic Conference, a target has been on its back. The Owls were no longer a sneaky underdog pick in college basketball predictions, but now a team with expectations.
For most of the season, Florida Atlantic had lived up to it. This is the first week that the Owls have dropped out of the AP Top 25, a big reason being the road loss to South Florida. Despite being on the road against one of the top teams in the American, Florida Atlantic was still favored by six points.
Florida Atlantic will face another tough opponent for college basketball spreads when hosting SMU. The Mustangs have won their last six games, going 3-3 ATS.
In the last win, SMU dominated Memphis and led nearly the whole game. Ricardo Wright had 26 points off the bench, which was a surprise, but Zhuric Phelps and Samuell Williamson each scored 18 in the Mustangs‘ big win.
SMU vs Florida Atlantic Over/Under Pick: Over 154
Based on how well both offenses have looked this season, the over seems like a great option in this matchup for college basketball picks. Within conference play, Florida Atlantic averages the most points per game (83.6) while SMU is third (79.2).
Both offenses are also coming off of big games. SMU had a big offensive night in the win over Memphis, putting up 106 points and getting some unlikely help from the bench. Then, despite the loss for Florida Atlantic, its stars had big games with Johnell Davis, Vladislav Goldin and Alijah Martin combining for 60 points.
Furthermore, the Mustangs have hit the over in eight of their last 10 games.
SMU vs Florida Atlantic Player Prop Pick: Johnell Davis Over 18.5 points (-110)
All season, Davis has been the anchor in Florida Atlantic’s offense. He averages 18.6 points and is ranked fourth in the AAC. On top of that, when playing against conference opponents, Davis’ offensive numbers tick up, averaging 20.8 points. Being at home and after putting up a team-high 23 points in the loss to South Florida, Davis could continue to put up solid offensive stats.
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Questions Of The Day
Which team has the better chance of winning the American Athletic Conference?
Florida Atlantic has a better chance of winning the conference than SMU, but it has struggled recently.
Who can lead SMU in scoring?
SMU does not have one player that dominates the offense, but Zhuric Phelps is the leading scorer at 14.7 points per game.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.