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SMU vs Arizona State NCAAB Predictions: Sun Devils’ Home Dominance Makes the Difference

Any time teams meet early in the season and their only losses come against solid opponents, it creates a bit of a measuring stick matchup to see how legitimate each side is. That appears to be the case here as SMU prepares to face Arizona State in a Wednesday matchup where the losses for both sides early on were respectable.

SMU, a 2-point underdog, enters at 6-3 with losses against then-No. 13 Texas A&M, Wisconsin and Dayton. As for Arizona State, it is 5-2 with losses to BYU and Mississippi State. But the big kicker here is that while both teams have played a few decent opponents, neither has passed the test of defeating a legitimately strong team, as in one that’s capable of pushing a spot in the Top 25.

SMU vs. Arizona State NCAAB Predictions: Sun Devils’ Home Dominance Makes the Difference
SMU vs. Arizona State NCAAB Predictions: Sun Devils’ Home Dominance Makes the Difference

And that only adds to the betting intrigue of this matchup.

SMU vs Arizona State Head-to-Head

It’s hard to envision a much worse head-to-head matchup to evaluate for one side here, but Arizona State has essentially had full ownership of the all-time series against SMU. The Sun Devils are 5-0 against SMU, and the two met last season, resulting in a 75-57 victory for Arizona State.

SMU vs Arizona State Game Information

  • Game: SMU (6-3) vs Arizona State (5-2)
  • Date/Time: Dec. 6, 10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ
  • SMU vs Arizona State Live Stream: TBS.com


SMU vs Arizona State Game Prediction

Arizona State has looked like a strong home team, posting a 4-0 mark. I love the homecourt advantage here and also the fact that Arizona State has left SMU seeking answers on how to snap this winless all-time streak. The Sun Devils have won three consecutive games while seeing three different players lead the team in scoring over that span as well.

Arizona State is a well-rounded group, and I have some concern about SMU on the offensive end, as the Mustangs have two players who average double-digits in scoring as Zhuric Phelps leads the way with 15.2 points and Chuck Harris averages 12.8 points per game.

I’m taking Arizona State to extend the win streak to four.

Predicted Score: Arizona State 70, SMU 62

SMU vs Arizona State Betting Lines

Worth Targeting the Total?

This game could be a fun one in terms of all college basketball picks today, as Arizona State could add even more early-season legitimacy behind their solid start. But with a projected total currently sitting at 141½, this could also be an ideal target for the under.

On the year, Arizona State games have cleared 141 points or more just one time, while SMU has managed to do it only three times. Both teams are in spots that point to the under making a ton of sense here and I’ll target that.

College Basketball Pick: Under 141points (-110)

Worth Betting ATS?

Both SMU and Arizona State are sitting at under 50% in terms of covering against the spread this year, but the Sun Devils’ major advantage is unquestionably playing at home. They were 10-5 in the comfort of their own backyard last year and 4-0 at home to start this season. With a small spread of just -2, I think we see Arizona State cover fairly easily.

College Basketball Pick: Arizona State -2 (-110)



Questions Of The Day

Which team is the most likely to surprise everyone?

Arizona State could put up a big performance and showcase a bit of legitimate upside some are likely unaware it has have.

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