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Take Duke as Massive Favorites vs Louisville

No.10 Duke (21-6, 12-4) is coming off its fourth loss in ACC play but will get a chance to bounce back against Louisville (8-19, 3-13). Louisville only has three wins in ACC play this season, which heavily leans NCAA basketball lines in Duke’s favor.

The Cardinals lost their last game to Notre Dame 72-50, scoring 25 points in each half. The Blue Devils also lost their previous game. They were upset by Wake Forest, 83-79, which led to a court storming that injured star player Kyle Filipowski.

Take Duke as Massive Favorites vs Louisville
Take Duke as Massive Favorites vs Louisville

 

Louisville vs Duke Game Information

  1. Game: Louisville (8-19, 3-13 ACC) vs. Duke (21-6, 12-4)
  2. Day/Time: Wednesday, Feb. 28, 7:00 p.m. ET
  3. Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
  4. Louisville vs Duke Live Stream: TBS.com

 

Given the difference between Louisville and Duke, it makes sense that college basketball predictions are siding with the home team. Duke is second in the conference, looking to make a run at the ACC championship, while Louisville is at the bottom of the standings.

 

Louisville vs Duke Odds and Spreads

 

  1. Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
  2. Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  3. Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5.
  4. Under is 7-0 in Blue Devils last 7 games as a favorite.
  5. Under is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 home games.
  6. Under is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 games as a home favorite.
  7. Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a favorite.
  8. Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.

 

Louisville vs Duke ATS Pick: Duke -20½ -110

This game will be challenging to include in NCAAB picks. One big reason is the injury concern to Filipowski. He has been one of the best players for Duke, averaging 16.9 points and 8.3 rebounds.

 

With such a large college basketball spread being set, whether Filipowski plays or not could be crucial in Duke covering. That does not mean the Blue Devils can not cover the spread without him.

Jared McCain and Jeremy Roach are averaging over 14 points against ACC opponents and should be able to make up for the absence of Filipowski if he does sit out. It also helps that Duke is facing Louisville, a team that has allowed 80.8 points per game against ACC opponents.

On top of that, the Cardinals have struggled offensively. Louisville has not scored more than 60 points in its last two losses, with the worst coming against Notre Dame, where it only managed 50. Facing a reliable defense in Duke’s could only worsen Louisville’s offensive issues.

 

Louisville vs Duke Over/Under Pick: Under 151½

This game hitting the over for college basketball predictions would rely solely on Duke carrying the scoring output of the game. While that could happen, given that the Blue Devils are second in the ACC with an average of 80.4 points, this does not seem like a matchup that could hit the over.

That is mainly because Louisville’s offense has struggled recently. Plus, the Cardinals will face a defense that holds opponents to 67.7 points per game. They will struggle to keep up offensively, leading to this game hitting the under.

 

Louisville vs Duke Player Prop Pick: Jeremy Roach Over 14.5 points (+102)

As a senior, this could be a game in which Roach has a lot of success offensively. Whether Filipowski plays or not, this might be a game where the Blue Devils need a leader so they don’t underestimate Louisville. Roach seems like the perfect choice to be that type of leader in this game, and if Filipowski is out, someone will need to take over most of the offensive workload.

 

Louisville vs Duke Score Prediction

Duke 85, Louisville 63

 

 

Questions Of The Day

 

Can Duke win the ACC?


Duke is a game and a half behind rival North Carolina for first place in the ACC. The two schools will meet in the final game of the regular season, which could decide the winner of the ACC.

Duke’s outlook on March Madness?


With March Madness approaching, Duke could be a team that makes a deep run. It has a 16-3 record over the last 19 games.

 

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