Texas Tech ATS Pick at Home vs Texas

· Feb 27 - 5 minutes read

Texas Tech goes after the regular-season sweep of rival Texas in the final season that both teams are Big 12 rivals before the Longhorns are headed to the SEC.

When Texas Tech went into Austin and won 78-67 as a 6½-point underdog last month, it was the fourth time in the last five games that the Red Raiders topped the Longhorns and the fifth game in a row in the series when Texas Tech covered. Three of the last four games landed under the total.

Six of the previous seven games between Texas and Texas Tech had been decided by single digits before Texas Tech scored nine points in the final three minutes in the game earlier this season. The Red Raiders are listed by the college basketball spread as a 3-point favorite.

Even though Texas is two games behind Texas Tech in the Big 12 standings, both the Longhorns and the Red Raiders are priced at +8000 in the odds to win March Madness. The Red Raiders are 34th in the NCAA NET rankings and 4-7 in Quad 1 games. Texas is also just 2-7 in Quad 1 games and 40th in the NCAA NET rankings.

Keep on reading for more on the matchup between Texas and Texas Tech.

Texas vs Texas Tech Game Information

Game: Texas 17-10 (6-11 Big 12) vs Texas Tech (19-8, 13-3 Big 12)
Date/Time: Tuesday, Feb. 27, 9 p.m. ET
Location: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX
Texas vs Texas Tech Live Stream: TBS.com

Texas Tech is 14-1 at home this season with the Red Raiders being favored in each of those games. The Red Raiders have covered in just seven of those games. Texas is 3-5 on the road this season and has won three of seven games as a road underdog.

🗣 @CoachGrantMac #TTW

“I’m excited about continuing to win and having the best home court in college basketball.” pic.twitter.com/zeVxvhy6bW

— Texas Tech Basketball (@TexasTechMBB) February 27, 2024

Texas Tech is priced at -165 to win the game outright with the Longhorns at +145 on the moneyline in the Las Vegas odds.

Texas vs Texas Tech Odds and Spreads

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Texas vs Texas Tech Betting Trends

Texas Tech is 16-1 this season when listed as the favorite.
Texas has lost six of its nine games as the underdog.
The Red Raiders are 7-8 against the spread at home.
Five of the eight road games played by Texas went over the total.
Texas has covered in one of its last five games.
The total went over in 10 of the last 14 games for Texas.
The Red Raiders are 1-7 ATS over their last eight games.
The total has gone over in eight of Texas Tech’s last 11 games.

Texas vs Texas Tech ATS Pick: Texas Tech -3

Both teams are coming off losses with Texas Tech losing by 14 points on the road to unranked UCF to fall out of the top 25 in the national polls. Texas was no match for No. 9 Kansas as the Longhorns led for less than a minute in a 19-point loss.

Texas has lost nine of its last 12 road games. The Longhorns have covered the college basketball lines in just four of their last 12 games against Big 12 teams and it is hard to have much confidence in Texas heading into this matchup.

Texas Tech is already without third-leading scorer Devan Cambridge and now Chance McMillian, who had 11 points and five rebounds in the first game against the Longhorns, is questionable.

Texas vs Texas Tech Over/Under Pick: Under 144½

Typically, these are two of the better defensive teams in the Big 12. However, Texas comes into the game 89th in scoring defense and Texas Tech ranks 98th. The Longhorns rank 53rd in defensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy college basketball ratings. Texas Tech is 75th in defensive efficiency. Keep that in mind when looking at the best college basketball bets today.

The teams combined for 143 points when they played last month. Don’t be surprised if they struggle to reach that mark in the rematch as this game could be headed under the 144½-point total.

Texas vs Texas Tech Player Prop Pick: Pop Isaacs to score 17+ Points (-104)

Isaacs has been held under 10 points in four of his last five games and he was just 3 of 12 from the field in the loss to UCF.

Perhaps seeing the Longhorns will get Texas Tech’s top scorer going again considering that he had 21 points the last time the teams met. He is a solid pick for player prop bets.

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Texas vs Texas Tech Prediction

Texas Tech 72, Texas 66

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Questions Of The Day

How has Texas fared against the spread on the road against Texas Tech?

Texas has won just one of its last seven games at Texas Tech but the Longhorns covered in three of those games.

Which team has the best record against the spread this season heading into the Texas-Texas Tech matchup?

Texas Tech is 11-18-1 against the spread while Texas is last among Big 12 teams with a 9-18 record against the college basketball spread.

The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.