The No. 7 Texas Longhorns and No. 12 Iowa State Cyclones have identical 4-1 records in the Big 12, and this game will decide which team holds on to that No. 2 spot. The Longhorns are on a three-game winning streak, while the Cyclones are coming off a close 62-60 loss to No. 2 Kansas.
Let’s check the latest college basketball odds, stats, injury reports and college basketball lines for Texas vs Iowa State. We’ve plenty of NCAA basketball odds for you to consider.
Texas’ Defense in Shambles
There is no denying that, with an average of 81.5 PPG, the Longhorns have one of the most dominant offenses in the nation. They struggle to rebound, but in raw scoring, few teams can outmatch them.
The problem is that the Longhorn’s defense went from iffy to terrible over the last few weeks.
This once highly decorated defense got beat 116-103 by Kansas State a few games back, while both TCU (75) and Texas Tech (70) put up big games against Texas recently. Traditionally, these are teams that the Texas defense would handle relatively easily.
Because of these defensive issues, the Longhorns’ record against the spread (ATS) is suffering. After starting the season 4-1, the Longhorns enter Tuesday 1-5 in their last six games.
Cyclones Profitable ATS
While the Longhorns have a lot of advantages on the court, as bettors, the outcome of this game doesn’t matter as much as the margin of victory. It should be noted that Iowa State keeps games close, win or lose, and is one of the most profitable ATS teams in college basketball.
Iowa State ranks 11th out of 358 teams with a 10-5 ATS record and a return on investment (ROI) of 27.36%. That means loyal Cyclones bettors have won 4.50 units in 15 games. At home, their record is 7-3, with an ROI of 33.79%.
The big issue we have with Iowa State is their unimpressive offense. With an average of 70.8 PPG, the Cyclones rank 162nd in scoring. Even up against a struggling Longhorns’ defense, we aren’t convinced that Iowa State can capitalize due to their lack of firepower.
The defense here is struggling, too, with at least 70 points allowed in three of their last four games.
Texas vs Iowa State Injuries
Texas vs Iowa State Head-to-Head
Texas won the last time these two teams met in February of 2022. The Longhorns also covered as 8½-point favorites after blowing the Cyclones out 63-41. Texas holds a 3-2 advantage in the last five games, but Iowa State is 3-2 ATS in that span.
Texas vs Iowa State Game Information
- Game: No. 7 Texas (15-2, 4-1 Big 12) vs No. 12 Iowa State (13-3, 4-1)
- Location: James H. Hilton Coliseum, Ames, IA
- Day/Time: Tuesday, Jan. 17, 8:00 p.m. ET
- Texas vs Iowa State Live Stream: TBS.com
Texas vs Iowa State Betting Lines
Texas vs Iowa State Prediction
We will trust Iowa State to continue covering spreads and for Texas to keep playing poor defense. The Cyclones still hold opponents to under 50 points at home, and we foresee the Longhorns struggling on both sides of the ball on Tuesday.
Iowa State is listed a -140 in our Vegas NCAAB lines. If you wager $100 on Iowa State, you can win $71. Texas is +120, offering a chance to win $120 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Iowa State a 58.33% chance to win, with Texas at 45.45%.