As flawed a team as the Villanova Wildcats are this season, they should have no trouble getting past the Georgetown Hoyas in Wednesday’s Big East road game.
With Justin Moore still recovering from a torn achilles, the Wildcats lack a true facilitator on offense and thus rank 276th out of 352 teams in assists per game (12).
Villanova has become heavily dependent on the frontcourt of Eric Dixon, Cam Whitmore and Brandon Slater and when opponents game plan to stop them, as Marquette did Saturday in a 68-66 win over the Wildcats, they have trouble scoring the ball.
Since going on a miracle run to win the Big East Tournament in 2021 – just their second tournament title since 1989 – the Hoyas have lost 23 straight Big East games.
With all major contributors being transfers, the Hoyas resemble more a collection of individuals than a team, and it has shown on the defensive end, where they have allowed 86.4 points per game and 51.1% shooting in the last five contests.
Of the six players who average 20 or more minutes, only center Qudus Wahab started his career at Georgetown and he left for a year before returning for his senior season.
Wildcats Should Get Open Looks From Outside
Led by Caleb Daniels, the Wildcats are second in the Big East and 25th in the country in 3-point attempts per game (26.9) and if ever there was a game to shoot more, this is it.
Kyle Neptune’s team is an average 3-point shooting team (33.7%) with only Dixon and Chris Arcidiacono shooting better than 38%, but they are likely to get a lot of open looks against the Hoyas, who have allowed their opponents to shoot 36.6% from beyond the arc, including 46.1% (48 of 104) in their four Big East games.
Daniels is in a bit of a funk from beyond the arc, making seven of his 27 attempts in the last four games, so look for Dixon to have a big game from outside for the Wildcats.
Hoyas need to dominate the boards
The best way for the Hoyas to hang around and possibly win is to clean up on the boards against a poor rebounding team from Villanova, who rank in the bottom 50 in the country in rebounds per game (32.21) and offensive rebounds per game (7.5).
Wahab and forward Akok Akok are the top rebounders for Georgetown as the duo pulls down a combined 15 boards per game, but starting guards Primo Spears, Brandon Murray and Jay Heath will also need to get in on the action for the Hoyas.
Winning the rebounding battle doesn’t guarantee a win for the Hoyas, as recent losses to Connecticut and DePaul would attest, but it has made for much closer games.
Villanova vs Georgetown Game Injuries
Villanova vs Georgetown Head-to-Head
The Wildcats have won six of the last seven meetings and own a 17-2 edge in the series since 2015. Villanova is 12-5 at Capital One Arena.
Villanova is clinging to a 46-45 lead in the series, with Georgetown leading 23-19 at home.
Villanova vs Georgetown Game Information
- Game: Villanova (7-7, 1-2) vs Georgetown (5-10, 0-4)
- Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
- Day/Time: Wednesday, Jan. 4, 6:30 p.m. ET
- Villanova vs Georgetown Live stream: TBS.com
Villanova vs Georgetown Betting Lines
Villanova vs Georgetown Picks & Prediction
The Wildcats are 9-point favorites on the road according to the NCAAB lines. Georgetown’s average margin of defeat in their 10 losses is 13 points.
The magic number in this game is 70 points. The Wildcats are 7-2 this season when holding the opposition to fewer than 70 points while the Hoyas have won just two of their last 42 Big East games when held below 70 points.
Villanova is listed at -450 in our Las Vegas college basketball odds. This means that if you wager $100 on the Wildcats, you have a chance to win $22. Georgetown is +340, offering a chance to win $340 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Villanova an 81.82% chance to win, with the Hoyas 22.73%.