Xavier Unable to Cover Large Spread vs Georgetown

Georgetown vs Xavier Game Information

1. Game: Georgetown (8-9, 1-5 Big East) vs Xavier (9-8, 3-3)
2. Location: Cintas Center, Cincinnati, OH
3. Day/Time: Friday, Jan.19, 6:30 p.m. ET
4. Georgetown vs Xavier Live Stream: TBS.com

This game could be interesting for college basketball spreads because while the lines favor Xavier, it is unclear if the team is good enough to cover against Georgetown.

The teams will meet this Friday, Jan. 19, at 6:30 pm at Cintas Center. You can watch the action on FS1.

Georgetown vs Xavier Odds and Spreads

Georgetown vs Xavier Betting Trends

1. The Musketeers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing record straight up.
2. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Hoyas’ last four games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
3. The Over is 4-1 in the Musketeers’ last five games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
4. The Musketeers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
5. The Musketeers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite.
6. The Musketeers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
7. The Hoyas are 0-5 ATS in their last five Friday games.
8. The Hoyas are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.

ATS Pick: Georgetown +12½

There is a clear hierarchy in the Big East, and it does not seem like Xavier is near the top of that in college basketball predictions. However, Georgetown is much closer to the bottom, with its only win coming against DePaul, who is winless in conference play.

In the Musketeer’s last game, they got to face Butler, one of the other middle-of-the-pack Big East teams and looked good. It helped out that Xavier played at home. That only helps college basketball odds favor the Musketeers.

Xavier’s ability to score has helped them gain some traction in Big East play. The Musketeers are averaging the second most points per game through six conference games at 75. They are doing so through two players averaging over 15 points per game, Quincy Olivari and Desmond Claude.

Desmond Claude last 4 games…

26 PTS 3 REB 4 AST 1 STL
21 PTS 5 REB 2 AST 1 STL
15 PTS 6 REB 5 AST 1 STL
11 PTS 3 REB 2 AST 2 STL

In Big East play the 6-6 soph. is averaging 16.3 PTS 5.5 REB 3.5 AST 1.0 STL@PSAhoops @XavierGrit @ExpressionsBallpic.twitter.com/uqBKamqp61

— Jamie Shaw (@JamieShaw5) January 17, 2024

Against Butler, Xaviers’ top two scores combined for 41 points, with Claude doing most of the work, putting up 26. Dayvion McKnight also had a big game with 20 points, averaging 10.1 per game on the season.

However, despite the lines favoring Xavier, the spread might be too large for it to cover. The Musketeers have played well, but maybe not enough to cover a double-digit spread, allowing Georgetown to have a sneaky backdoor cover.

Over/Under Pick: Over 149½

Xavier’s offense is a big reason why the over in this game could be an option in college basketball picks. Being second in scoring during conference play has led to the Musketeers hitting the over in the last three games.

Georgetown has also hit the over in two straight games, but part of that has been the amount of points it has given up. The Hoyas allow 75.2 points per game in conference play, which places them ninth.

On top of that, despite Georgetown’s overall offensive shortcoming, it still has the second-highest points per game player in the conference. Jayden Epps is averaging 18 points per game, which should help the Hoyas offense at least have some chances against Xavier.

Player Prop Pick: Quincy Olivari Over 18.5 Points (-108)

Of the two top scorers on Xavier, Olivari has been the streakiest, but that also means he has the highest upside for prop betting. He struggled in the last game with 15 points on 12 shots but hit five threes. Expect him to have a strong game against a weak Georgetown defense, which is a favorable matchup.

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Georgetown vs Xavier Score Prediction

Xavier 81, Georgetown 73

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