Xavier vs Texas Odds, First Four Prediction and March Madness Picks March 19

The Xavier Musketeers are a good bet as a slight favorite in the college basketball odds on Wednesday as they try to avenge a defeat against the Texas Longhorns in their last meeting at the 2023 NCAA Tournament.

The Musketeers had won seven straight before an 89-87 loss to Marquette in the Big East tournament quarterfinals. Xavier is 0-2 against Texas, including an 83-71 setback in the 2023 Midwest Regional semifinal.

Texas was just 6-12 during the regular season in the SEC, but has seven wins against NCAA Tournament teams. However, the Longhorns are just too inconsistent to bet (5-9 last 14 games) – even at bloated +100000 odds of winning the NCAA Tournament.

Xavier vs Texas Prediction Today 3/19

My prediction

Xavier 79, Texas 73

One comparable for the two teams is South Carolina. Xavier beat the Gamecocks 75-66 and Texas lost to them 84-69. That doesn’t always mean much, but the Musketeers appear a safer bet at -155 March Madness odds to advance against sixth seed Illinois on Friday.

Xavier vs Texas Betting Picks

My top picks

• Bet Xavier -3 points
• Bet over 150 points
• Bet Ryan Conwell 19+ points (-104)

My analysis

The Musketeers have been a different team since a mediocre 9-7 start to the season, winning 12 of 16 and reaching the Big Dance for the second time in three years.

Per NCAA betting tips, Zach Freemantle is averaging 21.8 points over the last four games and Ryan Conwell 22.4 the past five, including a dazzling 38-point performance versus Marquette last Thursday. They will need support from Dailyn Swain (10.5 ppg) and Dayvion McKnight (9.6).

I just am such a fan of Ryan Conwell. Absolute dude. Does everything well. Scores, shoots, defends, processes the game quickly. Just an awesome awesome player. pic.twitter.com/JbNOK5NjMT

— Sam Vecenie (@Sam_Vecenie) January 15, 2025

Expect Xavier to beat Texas with 3-pointers. The Musketeers shoot 38.8 percent from behind the arc (seventh in the nation). Both teams average at least 78 points and they have not been consistently good defensively. That makes the over a good March Madness pick.

Conwell is 24-of-41 from 3-point range the last five games and shoots 41.8 percent for the season (28th in the nation).

Xavier vs Texas March Madness Best Prop Pick

Bet Both Teams Score 70+ Points (-104)

This game might not reach the 80s, but both teams are capable of lighting up the scoreboard, per Xavier vs Texas stats.

Freshman Tre Johnson leads Texas at almost 20 points per game while Jordan Pope and Tramon Mack averaged 29.5 points between them in the SEC Tournament. Check late college basketball news on the Longhorns, who have had injury issues all season.

2025 #SECMBB Freshman of the Year

🤘 Tre Johnson, @TexasMBB

🔗 https://t.co/iFHfdpXO8v pic.twitter.com/dWRULK50H9

— Southeastern Conference (@SEC) March 10, 2025

Another possibility with less value is betting on the largest lead being under 14 ½ points (-139) because this will be a close March Madness game.

Xavier vs Texas How To Watch

• Game: Xavier Musketeers (21-11) vs Texas Longhorns (19-15)
• Date/Time: Wednesday, March 19, 9:10 p.m. ET
• Location: UD Arena, Dayton, Ohio
• Musketeers vs Longhorns Live Stream: TBS.com

Get updated Xavier vs Texas stats here

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Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.