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Fenway Bowl: Lay Points with SMU VS BC

In our Fenway Bowl prediction, we will analyze the matchup between the SMU Mustangs as they travel to historic Fenway Park to take on the Boston College Eagles. Let’s consider the college football odds and determine if the hometown Eagles can stay within the margins.

Fenway Bowl Game Information

  • Game: SMU (11-2) vs Boston College (6-6)
  • Date/Time: Thursday, December 28, 2023, 11:00 a.m. ET
  • Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
  • Mustangs vs. Eagles Live Stream: ESPN/ESPN+
  • Line: SMU -10, 49 ½


Fenway Bowl: Lay Points with SMU VS BC
Fenway Bowl: Lay Points with SMU VS BC

Here’s a look at some NCAA football odds to consider!

Backdrop: The SMU Mustangs, riding a nine-game winning streak, take on the local entry from Boston College, losers of their last three regular-season games. This is the first meeting between the schools and college football odds favor SMU by double digits.


Fenway Bowl Spreads and Odds

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  • Southern Methodist is 9-0 SU in their last 9 games.
  • Southern Methodist is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
  • Southern Methodist is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Thursday.
  • Southern Methodist is 10-0 SU in their last 10 games when playing as the favorite.
  • Boston College is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • Boston College is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing as the underdog.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist’s last 7 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College’s last 5 games played in December.

Fenway Bowl ATS Pick: SMU (-10)

Many believe SMU got snubbed by not being included in a New Year’s Six bowl. Instead, the Mustangs were relegated to battle a lackluster ACC opponent, the BC Eagles, a team that slumped to a .500 record by season’s end. As we were checking out the odds for bowl games on Thursday, we couldn’t help but notice the alarming disparity in talent between these two teams.

The Mustangs own a high-octane offense, ranked 33rd in rushing (181.1 RYG), 20th in passing (285.1 PYG), and sixth in scoring, averaging 40.2 points. But the talent doesn’t begin and end on the offensive side of the ball as the Mustangs also boast a stingy defense, ranked 12th in the nation, holding opponents to just 17.4 points per contest.

On the other hand, the Eagles do one thing, and only one thing, well – run the football. The Eagles rank 20th in the nation, averaging 193 yards per game. But the Mustangs’ run-stop unit ranks No. 19 in the country, holding opposition ball carriers to 111 rushing yards per game.

And here’s where the game gets out of hand. SMU will launch its aerial attack early and often which will allow the Mustangs to open a double-digit lead. That will force BC to abandon what the Eagles do best – run the ball – and instead try to go to the air.

Unfortunately for BC, SMU’s pass defense is ranked 16th in the country, surrendering just 168 yards per contest. This one won’t be pretty for the homegrown Eagles which is why we will happily lay the 10 and keep cashing our college football picks!

Game Prop Pick: SMU by 14+ points (+105)

SMU is too potent offensively to not blow the Eagles out in this one. Consider betting on the Mustangs’ alternate line at your sportsbook in addition to the standard point spread to add to your bankroll.

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Fenway Bowl Prediction

SMU 37, Boston College 16

Get in the game and beat the odds with the power of college football lines.



Questions Of The Day

Where is the Fenway Bowl played?

The Fenway Bowl is being played at Fenway Park, home of the Boston Red Sox, in Boston, Mass.

What are the betting odds for the Fenway Bowl?

The betting odds for the Fenway Bowl show the SMU Mustangs -10 with a total, or over/under, of 49 ½.

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