Florida vs Oregon State Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

· Dec 15 - 6 minutes read

Polar Opposite Attitudes

The Las Vegas Bowl features a SEC and Pac-12 clash between the Florida Gators (6-6) and No. 14 Oregon State Beavers (9-3). Ahead of Saturday’s matchup, the feeling around each team is completely different.

Florida has experienced a disappointing season and has a load of players sitting out of the game. Oregon State has been enjoying one of its best seasons over the last 20 years. Both have fared well against the spread (ATS), as Florida is 4-1 and Oregon State is 5-0 in the last five games. The Beavers are all in to grab their first bowl win since 2013, while the Gators could lack motivation.

Running back Deshaun Fenwick #5 of the Oregon State Beavers waves to the crowd — Ali Gradischer / Getty Images North America / Getty Images via AFP

Let’s check the latest college football odds, stats, injury reports, and college football lines for Florida vs Oregon State. We’ve plenty of NCAA football odds for you to consider.

Florida Short-Handed

The Gators may have done well ATS in the last five games, but they come off back-to-back deflating losses. First, Florida lost 31-24 to Vanderbilt, which has been the SEC’s punching bag for years. Then, the regular season finale was capped with a 45-38 loss against rival Florida State, which had not won the matchup since 2017.

To make matters worse, Florida will be without more than 10 players due to the transfer portal and opt-outs. Most importantly, quarterback Anthony Richardson will be out as he prepares for the 2023 NFL Draft. All-American offensive guard O’Cyrus Torrence, linebacker Ventrell Miller (third with 75 tackles), and wide receiver Justin Shorter (second with 577 receiving yards) are also out. Defensive tackle Gervon Dexter Sr. is the only NFL-bound player that will play.

Ohio State transfer Jack Miller III will make his first collegiate start at quarterback. Miller could be the future of Florida but is a mystery with no passing attempts this season. Plus, the Gators have no depth behind him.

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Oregon State Chasing Major Bowl Win

Oregon State is on the complete opposite end of the spectrum. The Beavers currently hold their highest ranking in the College Football Playoff era. Their nine-win total is the best since 2012, and they have not reached 10 wins since 2006. Oregon State has also covered six consecutive games ATS and is on a three-game winning streak. The Beavers come off their best win of the season after storming back from a 21-point deficit against No. 15 Oregon.

Backup quarterback Chance Nolan (transfer portal) and tight end Luke Musgrave are the only notable opt-outs. Musgrave, who has missed 10 consecutive games with an undisclosed injury, declared for the draft. Getting Musgrave back would have been huge, but it was not expected.

The Beavers are all in and highly motivated. This could be Oregon State’s best season over the last 20 years with a bowl win. That certainly matters to these players.

Florida vs Oregon State Game Injuries

Florida vs Oregon State Head-to-Head

This will be Florida and Oregon State’s first matchup. The Gators have 25 all-time bowl wins compared to the Beavers’ nine.

Florida vs Oregon State Game Information

Game: Florida vs Oregon State
Date: Saturday, December 17
Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Florida vs Oregon State Live Stream: ESPN

Florida vs Oregon State Betting Lines

Betting Odds Calculator

Florida vs Oregon State Picks & Prediction

Outside of the College Football Playoff, motivation in bowl games is now always questioned. Many teams are greatly impacted by opt-outs, as players do not want to risk their NFL draft stock. Florida is one of the most impacted teams by opt-outs.

The highly-motivated Oregon State is a rarity in the current bowl season landscape, and the Beavers have been better than Florida for most of the season. The Gators rank fifth in yards per carry and will lean on the run with first-time QB starter Miller. However, the Beavers allow less than four yards per carry, and missing All-American guard Torrence will have an impact. I have a hard time seeing Florida scoring enough points, so take the under.

In addition, roll with Oregon State to win and cover. OSU is averaging 35.7 points in the last three games and averages nearly 200 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, Florida is 98th in allowed rushing yards per game. Beavers’ running back Damien Martinez, who averages 6.1 yards per carry, is poised for a monster outing.

Oregon State is listed at -350 in our Vegas college football lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Beavers, you have a chance to win $29. Florida is +280, offering a chance to win $280 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Oregon State a 77.78% chance to win, with the Gators at 26.32%.

BET THIS PICK: Oregon State -10

BET THIS PICK: Under 53

The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.