Red Wolves vs Falcons Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Thursday 12-26-2024

The Bowling Green Falcons and Arkansas State Red Wolves will meet in this season's 68 Ventures Bowl. The Falcons are big favorites (-10). The matchup has an over/under of 53.5 points.

Last time out, the Falcons couldn't pick up the win against the Miami (OH) RedHawks, 28-12. In their most recent outing, the Red Wolves took on the Old Dominion Monarchs and fell short by a final score of 40-32.

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green Game Info

When: Thursday, December 26, 2024 at 9 p.m. ET
Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Alabama
TV: ESPN
Favorite: Bowling Green -10
Total: 53.5 points

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Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green Matchup Stats

Bowling Green		Arkansas State
369.4 (91st)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	386.4 (75th)
331.1 (27th)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	460.7 (126th)
144.8 (83rd)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	159.3 (73rd)
224.6 (70th)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	227.1 (67th)
10 (15th)	Turnovers (Rank)	17 (60th)
13 (99th)	Takeaways (Rank)	19 (43rd)

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Bowling Green 31, Arkansas State 20

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Bowling Green -10 (model predicted spread is 10.4 points)

Bowling Green has a 5-6-0 record against the spread this season.
The Falcons are 1-4 against the spread when favored by 10 points or more this season.
Arkansas State is 5-6-0 ATS this year.
The Red Wolves are 1-3 against the spread when an underdog by 10 points or more this season.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 53.5 (model projecting 51.2 points)

Bowling Green games have finished with more than 53.5 points three times so far this year.
Red Wolves games have finished with more than 53.5 points five times this year.
The over/under in this game is 53.5 points, 3.5 higher than the average total in Bowling Green games this season.
The average total points scored in Red Wolves games this year (53.5) is 3.7 points higher than the total for this matchup.

Team Leaders

Bowling Green Team Leaders

Connor Bazelak: 2,654 PASS YDS / 221.2 YPG / 67.1% / 15 TD / 5 INT
Terion Stewart: 160 CAR / 895 YDS / 81.4 YPG / 6 TD / 1 REC / 12 YDS / 2.4 YPG / 0 TD
Jaison Patterson: 94 CAR / 411 YDS / 34.3 YPG / 5 TD / 10 REC / 93 YDS / 10.3 YPG / 0 TD
Harold Fannin: 100 REC / 1,337 YDS / 111.4 YPG / 9 TD
Malcolm Johnson Jr.: 47 REC / 504 YDS / 42 YPG / 2 TD
Rahkeem Smith: 18 REC / 252 YDS / 25.2 YPG / 2 TD
Joseph Sipp Jr.: 67 TKL / 9 TFL / 6 SACK
Jordan Oladokun: 29 TKL / 4 INT / 5 PD

Arkansas State Team Leaders

Jaylen Raynor: 2,562 PASS YDS / 213.5 YPG / 61.8% / 14 TD / 9 INT / 130 CAR / 392 RUSH YDS / 2 TD
Zak Wallace: 139 CAR / 622 YDS / 51.8 YPG / 10 TD / 14 REC / 96 YDS / 9.6 YPG / 0 TD
Ja'Quez Cross: 107 CAR / 600 YDS / 50 YPG / 2 TD / 30 REC / 198 YDS / 16.5 YPG / 1 TD
Corey Rucker: 65 REC / 946 YDS / 78.8 YPG / 5 TD
Courtney Jackson: 38 REC / 445 YDS / 37.1 YPG / 2 TD
Adam Jones: 21 REC / 255 YDS / 25.5 YPG / 3 TD
Bryan Whitehead II: 15 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK
Marvin Ham II: 76 TKL / 7 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Trevian Thomas: 60 TKL / 5 INT / 5 PD