Warhawks vs Red Wolves Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-23-2024

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-4) and UL Monroe Warhawks (5-5) will face off in a battle of two conference rivals. The Red Wolves are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The total for this one is set at 51.5 points.

Last time out, the Red Wolves took the loss against the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns, 55-19. In their most recent outing, the Warhawks took on the Auburn Tigers and lost by a final score of 48-14.

UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State Game Info

When: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 3 p.m. ET
Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas
TV: ESPN+
Favorite: Arkansas State -3
Total: 51.5 points

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UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State Stat Matchup

Arkansas State		UL Monroe
387 (71st)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	295 (127th)
458.6 (124th)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	385.2 (80th)
157.6 (70th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	163.8 (63rd)
229.4 (66th)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	131.2 (130th)
15 (79th)	Turnovers (Rank)	10 (26th)
17 (31st)	Takeaways (Rank)	11 (97th)

UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Arkansas State 28, UL Monroe 24

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Arkansas State -3 (model predicted spread is 3.5 points)

Arkansas State has a 4-5-0 record against the spread this season.
In games they have played as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Red Wolves are 1-2 against the spread.
UL Monroe is 5-4-0 ATS this season.
The Warhawks have a 4-4 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 3 points or more.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 51.5 (model projecting 52.4 points)

Arkansas State games have finished with more than 51.5 points five times so far this season.
Warhawks games have finished with over 51.5 points scored five times this year.
The average total for Arkansas State games this season has been 57.7, 6.2 points higher than the total for this game.
Games involving the Warhawks this year have averaged 47.9 points per game, a 3.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

Team Leaders

Arkansas State

Jaylen Raynor: 2,131 PASS YDS / 213.1 YPG / 61.3% / 8 TD / 8 INT / 103 CAR / 362 RUSH YDS / 2 TD
Ja'Quez Cross: 96 CAR / 543 YDS / 54.3 YPG / 2 TD / 27 REC / 185 YDS / 18.5 YPG / 1 TD
Zak Wallace: 106 CAR / 403 YDS / 40.3 YPG / 8 TD / 13 REC / 97 YDS / 12.1 YPG / 0 TD
Corey Rucker: 54 REC / 782 YDS / 78.2 YPG / 3 TD
Courtney Jackson: 30 REC / 341 YDS / 34.1 YPG / 0 TD
Reagan Ealy: 19 REC / 234 YDS / 23.4 YPG / 0 TD
Jayden Jones: 23 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK / 1 INT / 1 PD
Marvin Ham II: 70 TKL / 7 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Trevian Thomas: 53 TKL / 4 INT / 4 PD

UL Monroe

Aidan Armenta: 989 PASS YDS / 98.9 YPG / 56.3% / 7 TD / 6 INT
Ahmad Hardy: 179 CAR / 976 YDS / 97.6 YPG / 10 TD / 5 REC / 57 YDS / 8.1 YPG / 0 TD
James Jones: 77 CAR / 331 YDS / 33.1 YPG / 1 TD / 4 REC / 80 YDS / 13.3 YPG / 2 TD
Davon Wells: 25 REC / 238 YDS / 23.8 YPG / 2 TD
Jacob Godfrey: 17 REC / 201 YDS / 22.3 YPG / 1 TD
Javon Campbell: 8 REC / 176 YDS / 22 YPG / 1 TD
Billy Pullen: 28 TKL / 3 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Wydett Williams Jr.: 56 TKL / 1 SACK / 3 INT / 3 PD