Nittany Lions vs Broncos Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Tuesday 12-31-2024

The No. 5 Penn State Nittany Lions (12-2) play the No. 8 Boise State Broncos (12-1) in the Fiesta Bowl in Glendale, Arizona in the quarterfinal round of the College Football Playoff. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET, and Penn State is a 12 favorite. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 54.5.

The Nittany Lions last took to the field against the Purdue Boilermakers, and they won 49-10. In their most recent outing, the Broncos took on the Oregon State Beavers and picked up the win by a final score of 34-18.

Penn State vs. Boise State Game Info

• When: Tuesday, December 31, 2024 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona
• TV: ESPN
• Favorite: Penn State -12
• Total: 54.5 points

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Penn State vs. Boise State Matchup Stats

Penn State vs. Boise State Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: Penn State 32, Boise State 23

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: Boise State +12 (model predicted spread is 9.3 points)

• So far this season, Penn State has compiled a 7-7-0 record against the spread.
• In games this season they were favored by 12 points or more, the Nittany Lions have a 4-4 record against the spread.
• Boise State is 7-4-1 against the spread this year.
• The Broncos are 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 12-point underdogs.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 54.5 (model projecting 55.1 points)

• Penn State and its opponent have broken the 54.5-point mark five times this season.
• Broncos games have finished with more than 54.5 points six times this season.
• The over/under for this game is 54.5 points, 4.5 more than the average point total for Penn State games this season.
• This season, Broncos games have resulted in an average scoring total of 60.0, which is 5.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Team Leaders

Penn State Team Leaders

• Drew Allar: 3,021 PASS YDS / 215.8 YPG / 68.5% / 21 TD / 7 INT / 79 CAR / 289 RUSH YDS / 6 TD
• Nicholas Singleton: 145 CAR / 928 YDS / 66.3 YPG / 8 TD / 39 REC / 342 YDS / 24.4 YPG / 5 TD
• Kaytron Allen: 184 CAR / 892 YDS / 63.7 YPG / 8 TD / 17 REC / 147 YDS / 12.3 YPG / 2 TD
• Tyler Warren: 92 REC / 1,095 YDS / 78.2 YPG / 6 TD
• Harrison Wallace III: 43 REC / 686 YDS / 52.8 YPG / 4 TD
• Omari Evans: 19 REC / 360 YDS / 30 YPG / 4 TD
• Abdul Carter: 50 TKL / 16 TFL / 11 SACK
• Jaylen Reed: 59 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK / 3 INT / 3 PD
• Dominic DeLuca: 22 TKL / 0.5 SACK / 3 INT / 3 PD

Boise State Team Leaders

• Maddux Madsen: 2,714 PASS YDS / 208.8 YPG / 62% / 22 TD / 3 INT / 50 CAR / 224 RUSH YDS / 5 TD
• Ashton Jeanty: 344 CAR / 2,497 YDS / 192.1 YPG / 29 TD / 20 REC / 116 YDS / 9.7 YPG / 1 TD
• Cam Camper: 55 REC / 837 YDS / 64.4 YPG / 4 TD
• Matt Lauter: 43 REC / 523 YDS / 40.2 YPG / 6 TD
• LaTrell Caples: 34 REC / 443 YDS / 34.1 YPG / 5 TD
• Jayden Virgin: 33 TKL / 10 TFL / 10 SACK
• Ty Benefield: 51 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD