Golden Bears vs Mustangs Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 11-30-2024

A pair of the country's best rushing defenses square off when the No. 9 SMU Mustangs (10-1) bring college football's fifth-ranked rushing D into a contest versus the California Golden Bears (6-5), with the No. 16 unit, on Saturday, November 30, 2024. The Mustangs are heavy, 13.5-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under of 55 points.

The Mustangs last hit the field against the Pittsburgh Panthers, and they emerged victorious 48-25. In their most recent outing, the Golden Bears took on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and picked up the win by a final score of 46-36.

Cal vs. SMU Game Info

When: Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in University Park, Texas
TV: ESPN2
Favorite: SMU -13.5
Total: 55 points

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Cal vs. SMU Stat Matchup

SMU		Cal
444.3 (27th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	394.5 (66th)
332.6 (27th)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	334.6 (30th)
183.6 (38th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	118.5 (107th)
260.6 (33rd)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	276.1 (18th)
19 (103rd)	Turnovers (Rank)	9 (14th)
20 (18th)	Takeaways (Rank)	22 (12th)

Cal vs. SMU Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: SMU 38, Cal 17

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: SMU -13.5 (model predicted spread is 20.9 points)

SMU's ATS record is 6-4-0 this season.
When they have played as at least 13.5-point favorites this season, the Mustangs are 1-2 against the spread.
Cal has a 6-4-0 record against the spread this year.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 55 (model projecting 54.4 points)

Six times so far this season, SMU and its opponent have combined for more than 55 points.
Golden Bears games have finished with over 55 points scored three times this year.
The over/under for this game is 55 points, 1.0 more than the average point total for SMU games this season.
Golden Bears games average 52.0 total points, 3.0 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Team Leaders

SMU

Kevin Jennings: 2,521 PASS YDS / 229.2 YPG / 66.7% / 17 TD / 7 INT / 75 CAR / 315 RUSH YDS / 4 TD
Brashard Smith: 176 CAR / 1,086 YDS / 98.7 YPG / 13 TD / 26 REC / 203 YDS / 18.5 YPG / 2 TD
Roderick Daniels Jr.: 24 REC / 460 YDS / 41.8 YPG / 2 TD
Keyshawn Smith: 28 REC / 451 YDS / 41 YPG / 4 TD
RJ Maryland: 24 REC / 359 YDS / 39.9 YPG / 4 TD
Isaiah Smith: 26 TKL / 7 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Kobe Wilson: 75 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT / 2 PD
Isaiah Nwokobia: 72 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 3 INT / 3 PD

Cal

Fernando Mendoza: 3,004 PASS YDS / 273.1 YPG / 68.7% / 16 TD / 6 INT
Jaivian Thomas: 91 CAR / 598 YDS / 54.4 YPG / 7 TD / 9 REC / 88 YDS / 11 YPG / 0 TD
Jaydn Ott: 92 CAR / 264 YDS / 29.3 YPG / 4 TD / 23 REC / 223 YDS / 24.8 YPG / 1 TD
Jack Endries: 48 REC / 555 YDS / 50.5 YPG / 2 TD
Nyziah Hunter: 35 REC / 493 YDS / 44.8 YPG / 5 TD
Trond Grizzell: 26 REC / 384 YDS / 34.9 YPG / 1 TD
Xavier Carlton: 35 TKL / 8 TFL / 9 SACK
Teddye Buchanan: 87 TKL / 5 TFL / 5 SACK
Nohl Williams: 35 TKL / 7 INT / 7 PD