Huskies vs Tar Heels Predictions, Odds and NCAAF Picks Saturday 12-28-2024

The North Carolina Tar Heels are slight favorites (-2.5) in the Fenway Bowl against the UConn Huskies. The matchup has an over/under of 53.5 points.

Last time out, the Tar Heels defeated the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 31-24. The Huskies picked up a 34-27 win last time out against the Georgia State Panthers.

UConn vs. North Carolina Game Info

When: Saturday, December 28, 2024 at 11 a.m. ET
Location: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
TV: ESPN
Favorite: North Carolina -2.5
Total: 53.5 points

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UConn vs. North Carolina Matchup Stats

North Carolina		UConn
423.4 (49th)	Off. Yards Avg. (Rank)	400.7 (68th)
377 (62nd)	Def. Yards Avg. (Rank)	359.1 (43rd)
189.5 (29th)	Rush Yards Avg. (Rank)	198.3 (24th)
233.9 (59th)	Pass Yards Avg. (Rank)	202.3 (94th)
16 (51st)	Turnovers (Rank)	16 (51st)
15 (84th)	Takeaways (Rank)	14 (94th)

UConn vs. North Carolina Picks

Score Prediction

Prediction: North Carolina 32, UConn 26

Spread Pick

Pick ATS: North Carolina -2.5 (model predicted spread is 6 points)

North Carolina has covered the spread just twice in 11 contests this season.
The Tar Heels are 1-4 against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
UConn's ATS record is 5-4-2 this season.
The Huskies have a 2-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 53.5 (model projecting 57.5 points)

Eight times so far this season, North Carolina and its opponent have combined for more than 53.5 points.
So far this year, six Huskies games have featured over 53.5 points scored.
The total for this game is 53.5, 1.7 points fewer than the average total in North Carolina games thus far this season.
Huskies games average 49.1 total points, 4.4 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Team Leaders

North Carolina Team Leaders

Jacolby Criswell: 2,452 PASS YDS / 204.3 YPG / 58% / 15 TD / 6 INT
Omarion Hampton: 281 CAR / 1,660 YDS / 138.3 YPG / 15 TD / 38 REC / 373 YDS / 31.1 YPG / 2 TD
Davion Gause: 62 CAR / 314 YDS / 28.5 YPG / 4 TD / 3 REC / 34 YDS / 4.9 YPG / 0 TD
J.J. Jones: 34 REC / 570 YDS / 47.5 YPG / 6 TD
John Copenhaver: 36 REC / 370 YDS / 30.8 YPG / 3 TD
Amare Campbell: 65 TKL / 9 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Antavious Lane: 77 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Marcus Allen: 34 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

UConn Team Leaders

Joe Fagnano: 1,480 PASS YDS / 148 YPG / 56.5% / 18 TD / 4 INT
Cam Edwards: 129 CAR / 756 YDS / 63 YPG / 7 TD / 13 REC / 148 YDS / 16.4 YPG / 2 TD
Durell Robinson: 107 CAR / 731 YDS / 60.9 YPG / 8 TD / 14 REC / 75 YDS / 7.5 YPG / 0 TD
Skyler Bell: 47 REC / 783 YDS / 65.3 YPG / 4 TD
TJ Sheffield: 49 REC / 474 YDS / 39.5 YPG / 3 TD
Jasaiah Gathings: 29 REC / 285 YDS / 23.8 YPG / 3 TD
Tui Faumuina-Brown: 86 TKL / 7 TFL / 4.5 SACK / 1 PD
Jayden McDonald: 101 TKL / 5 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT / 2 PD
Malik Dixon: 55 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 4 PD